Jsc National Atomic Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 39.07

NATKY Stock  USD 39.07  0.07  0.18%   
JSC National's future price is the expected price of JSC National instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of JSC National Atomic performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out JSC National Backtesting, JSC National Valuation, JSC National Correlation, JSC National Hype Analysis, JSC National Volatility, JSC National History as well as JSC National Performance.
  
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JSC National Target Price Odds to finish over 39.07

The tendency of JSC Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 39.07 90 days 39.07 
about 23.79
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of JSC National to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 23.79 (This JSC National Atomic probability density function shows the probability of JSC Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon JSC National has a beta of 0.46. This indicates as returns on the market go up, JSC National average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding JSC National Atomic will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally JSC National Atomic has an alpha of 0.021, implying that it can generate a 0.021 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   JSC National Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for JSC National

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as JSC National Atomic. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
36.7739.0741.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
31.4833.7842.98
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
36.9839.2741.57
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
38.9839.0539.11
Details

JSC National Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. JSC National is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the JSC National's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold JSC National Atomic, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of JSC National within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.46
σ
Overall volatility
1.22
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

JSC National Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of JSC Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential JSC National's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. JSC National's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding259.4 M

JSC National Technical Analysis

JSC National's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. JSC Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of JSC National Atomic. In general, you should focus on analyzing JSC Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

JSC National Predictive Forecast Models

JSC National's time-series forecasting models is one of many JSC National's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary JSC National's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards JSC National in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, JSC National's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from JSC National options trading.

Additional Tools for JSC Pink Sheet Analysis

When running JSC National's price analysis, check to measure JSC National's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy JSC National is operating at the current time. Most of JSC National's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of JSC National's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move JSC National's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of JSC National to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.