Ncr Atleos Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 27.94
| NATL Stock | 32.68 0.51 1.59% |
NCR |
NCR Atleos Target Price Odds to finish over 27.94
The tendency of NCR Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 27.94 in 90 days |
| 32.68 | 90 days | 27.94 | about 64.82 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NCR Atleos to stay above 27.94 in 90 days from now is about 64.82 (This NCR Atleos probability density function shows the probability of NCR Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of NCR Atleos price to stay between 27.94 and its current price of 32.68 at the end of the 90-day period is about 64.74 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.39 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, NCR Atleos will likely underperform. Additionally NCR Atleos has an alpha of 0.0958, implying that it can generate a 0.0958 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). NCR Atleos Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for NCR Atleos
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NCR Atleos. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of NCR Atleos' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
NCR Atleos Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. NCR Atleos is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the NCR Atleos' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NCR Atleos, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of NCR Atleos within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.1 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.39 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.34 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
NCR Atleos Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of NCR Atleos for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for NCR Atleos can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| NCR Atleos currently holds 3.12 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.05, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. NCR Atleos has a current ratio of 0.41, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about NCR Atleos' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 4.19 B. Net Loss for the year was (132 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 919 M. | |
| Over 97.0% of NCR Atleos shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: NCR Atleos Corporation Hedge Funds Are Bullish on This Promising New Technology Stock |
NCR Atleos Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of NCR Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential NCR Atleos' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NCR Atleos' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 70.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 339 M |
NCR Atleos Technical Analysis
NCR Atleos' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. NCR Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of NCR Atleos. In general, you should focus on analyzing NCR Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
NCR Atleos Predictive Forecast Models
NCR Atleos' time-series forecasting models is one of many NCR Atleos' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary NCR Atleos' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about NCR Atleos
Checking the ongoing alerts about NCR Atleos for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for NCR Atleos help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| NCR Atleos currently holds 3.12 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.05, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. NCR Atleos has a current ratio of 0.41, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about NCR Atleos' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 4.19 B. Net Loss for the year was (132 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 919 M. | |
| Over 97.0% of NCR Atleos shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: NCR Atleos Corporation Hedge Funds Are Bullish on This Promising New Technology Stock |
Check out NCR Atleos Backtesting, NCR Atleos Valuation, NCR Atleos Correlation, NCR Atleos Hype Analysis, NCR Atleos Volatility, NCR Atleos History as well as NCR Atleos Performance. For more information on how to buy NCR Stock please use our How to buy in NCR Stock guide.You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of NCR Atleos. If investors know NCR will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about NCR Atleos listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.48) | Earnings Share (1.66) | Revenue Per Share 60.112 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.01 | Return On Assets 0.037 |
The market value of NCR Atleos is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of NCR that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of NCR Atleos' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is NCR Atleos' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because NCR Atleos' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect NCR Atleos' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between NCR Atleos' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if NCR Atleos is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, NCR Atleos' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.