Navigator Equity Hedged Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 41.18
| NAVIX Fund | USD 37.02 0.00 0.00% |
NAVIGATOR |
Navigator Equity Target Price Odds to finish over 41.18
The tendency of NAVIGATOR Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 41.18 or more in 90 days |
| 37.02 | 90 days | 41.18 | about 18.69 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Navigator Equity to move over $ 41.18 or more in 90 days from now is about 18.69 (This Navigator Equity Hedged probability density function shows the probability of NAVIGATOR Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Navigator Equity Hedged price to stay between its current price of $ 37.02 and $ 41.18 at the end of the 90-day period is about 16.38 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Navigator Equity Hedged has a beta of -7.7. This indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Navigator Equity Hedged are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Navigator Equity is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that Navigator Equity Hedged has an alpha of 8.8264, implying that it can generate a 8.83 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Navigator Equity Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Navigator Equity
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Navigator Equity Hedged. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Navigator Equity Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Navigator Equity is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Navigator Equity's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Navigator Equity Hedged, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Navigator Equity within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 8.83 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -7.7 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 8.22 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.16 |
Navigator Equity Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Navigator Equity for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Navigator Equity Hedged can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Navigator Equity is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Navigator Equity generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund generated three year return of -3.0% | |
| Navigator Equity Hedged maintains about 20.91% of its assets in cash |
Navigator Equity Technical Analysis
Navigator Equity's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. NAVIGATOR Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Navigator Equity Hedged. In general, you should focus on analyzing NAVIGATOR Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Navigator Equity Predictive Forecast Models
Navigator Equity's time-series forecasting models is one of many Navigator Equity's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Navigator Equity's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Navigator Equity Hedged
Checking the ongoing alerts about Navigator Equity for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Navigator Equity Hedged help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Navigator Equity is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Navigator Equity generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund generated three year return of -3.0% | |
| Navigator Equity Hedged maintains about 20.91% of its assets in cash |
Other Information on Investing in NAVIGATOR Mutual Fund
Navigator Equity financial ratios help investors to determine whether NAVIGATOR Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in NAVIGATOR with respect to the benefits of owning Navigator Equity security.
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