Nebius Group Nv Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 26.12

NBIS Stock   21.43  0.69  3.12%   
Nebius Group's future price is the expected price of Nebius Group instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Nebius Group NV performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Nebius Group Backtesting, Nebius Group Valuation, Nebius Group Correlation, Nebius Group Hype Analysis, Nebius Group Volatility, Nebius Group History as well as Nebius Group Performance.
  
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Nebius Group Target Price Odds to finish over 26.12

The tendency of Nebius Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  26.12  or more in 90 days
 21.43 90 days 26.12 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nebius Group to move over  26.12  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Nebius Group NV probability density function shows the probability of Nebius Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Nebius Group NV price to stay between its current price of  21.43  and  26.12  at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.28 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Nebius Group has a beta of 0.57. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Nebius Group average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Nebius Group NV will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Nebius Group NV has an alpha of 0.2103, implying that it can generate a 0.21 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Nebius Group Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Nebius Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nebius Group NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.0021.6526.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.9917.6422.29
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
19.1923.8428.49
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
17.3020.8024.29
Details

Nebius Group Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nebius Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nebius Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nebius Group NV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nebius Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.21
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.57
σ
Overall volatility
1.42
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Nebius Group Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nebius Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nebius Group NV can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Nebius Group NV had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Nebius Group NV has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Nebius Group NV was previously known as Yandex NV and was traded on NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol YNDX.
Nebius Group NV has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from aol.com: Nebius Group to open first US cloud operations after resuming trading

Nebius Group Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Nebius Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Nebius Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nebius Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding361.5 M

Nebius Group Technical Analysis

Nebius Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nebius Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nebius Group NV. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nebius Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Nebius Group Predictive Forecast Models

Nebius Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Nebius Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Nebius Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Nebius Group NV

Checking the ongoing alerts about Nebius Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Nebius Group NV help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Nebius Group NV had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Nebius Group NV has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Nebius Group NV was previously known as Yandex NV and was traded on NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol YNDX.
Nebius Group NV has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from aol.com: Nebius Group to open first US cloud operations after resuming trading

Additional Tools for Nebius Stock Analysis

When running Nebius Group's price analysis, check to measure Nebius Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nebius Group is operating at the current time. Most of Nebius Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nebius Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nebius Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nebius Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.