NB Private (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1,546

NBPE Stock   1,528  18.00  1.16%   
NB Private's future price is the expected price of NB Private instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of NB Private Equity performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out NB Private Backtesting, NB Private Valuation, NB Private Correlation, NB Private Hype Analysis, NB Private Volatility, NB Private History as well as NB Private Performance.
  
Please specify NB Private's target price for which you would like NB Private odds to be computed.

NB Private Target Price Odds to finish over 1,546

The tendency of NBPE Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 1,528 90 days 1,528 
about 92.85
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NB Private to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 92.85 (This NB Private Equity probability density function shows the probability of NBPE Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon NB Private Equity has a beta of -0.35. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding NB Private are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, NB Private Equity is likely to outperform the market. Additionally NB Private Equity has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   NB Private Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for NB Private

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NB Private Equity. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,5261,5281,529
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,3011,3031,681
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.170.050.27
Details

NB Private Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. NB Private is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the NB Private's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NB Private Equity, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of NB Private within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.35
σ
Overall volatility
25.62
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

NB Private Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of NB Private for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for NB Private Equity can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NB Private Equity generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 58.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

NB Private Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of NBPE Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential NB Private's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NB Private's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding46.6 M
Dividends Paid43.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments50.6 M
Forward Annual Dividend Rate0.71

NB Private Technical Analysis

NB Private's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. NBPE Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of NB Private Equity. In general, you should focus on analyzing NBPE Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

NB Private Predictive Forecast Models

NB Private's time-series forecasting models is one of many NB Private's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary NB Private's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about NB Private Equity

Checking the ongoing alerts about NB Private for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for NB Private Equity help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NB Private Equity generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 58.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Additional Tools for NBPE Stock Analysis

When running NB Private's price analysis, check to measure NB Private's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NB Private is operating at the current time. Most of NB Private's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NB Private's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NB Private's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NB Private to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.