Nobel Resources Corp Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 6.13

NBTRF Stock  USD 0.03  0.0006  2.44%   
Nobel Resources' future price is the expected price of Nobel Resources instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Nobel Resources Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Nobel Resources Backtesting, Nobel Resources Valuation, Nobel Resources Correlation, Nobel Resources Hype Analysis, Nobel Resources Volatility, Nobel Resources History as well as Nobel Resources Performance.
  
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Nobel Resources Target Price Odds to finish over 6.13

The tendency of Nobel OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 6.13  or more in 90 days
 0.03 90 days 6.13 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nobel Resources to move over $ 6.13  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Nobel Resources Corp probability density function shows the probability of Nobel OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Nobel Resources Corp price to stay between its current price of $ 0.03  and $ 6.13  at the end of the 90-day period is close to 99 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Nobel Resources Corp has a beta of -2.23. This indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Nobel Resources Corp are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Nobel Resources is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Nobel Resources Corp has an alpha of 0.3048, implying that it can generate a 0.3 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Nobel Resources Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Nobel Resources

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nobel Resources Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.035.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.025.32
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00030.025.31
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.020.030.05
Details

Nobel Resources Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nobel Resources is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nobel Resources' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nobel Resources Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nobel Resources within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.30
β
Beta against Dow Jones-2.23
σ
Overall volatility
0
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Nobel Resources Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nobel Resources for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nobel Resources Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Nobel Resources Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Nobel Resources Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Nobel Resources Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Nobel Resources Corp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (10.54 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Nobel Resources Corp has accumulated about 1.56 M in cash with (8.32 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02.

Nobel Resources Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Nobel OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Nobel Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nobel Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding77.1 M

Nobel Resources Technical Analysis

Nobel Resources' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nobel OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nobel Resources Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nobel OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Nobel Resources Predictive Forecast Models

Nobel Resources' time-series forecasting models is one of many Nobel Resources' otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Nobel Resources' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Nobel Resources Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Nobel Resources for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Nobel Resources Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Nobel Resources Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Nobel Resources Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Nobel Resources Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Nobel Resources Corp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (10.54 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Nobel Resources Corp has accumulated about 1.56 M in cash with (8.32 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02.

Other Information on Investing in Nobel OTC Stock

Nobel Resources financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nobel OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nobel with respect to the benefits of owning Nobel Resources security.