News (Germany) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 26.36

NC0 Stock  EUR 27.60  0.20  0.73%   
News' future price is the expected price of News instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of News Corporation performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out News Backtesting, News Valuation, News Correlation, News Hype Analysis, News Volatility, News History as well as News Performance.
  
Please specify News' target price for which you would like News odds to be computed.

News Target Price Odds to finish below 26.36

The tendency of News Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 26.36  or more in 90 days
 27.60 90 days 26.36 
about 81.22
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of News to drop to € 26.36  or more in 90 days from now is about 81.22 (This News Corporation probability density function shows the probability of News Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of News price to stay between € 26.36  and its current price of €27.6 at the end of the 90-day period is about 13.62 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon News has a beta of 0.16. This indicates as returns on the market go up, News average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding News Corporation will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally News Corporation has an alpha of 0.112, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   News Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for News

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as News. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
26.1727.6029.03
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
25.2226.6528.08
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
25.3526.7828.22
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
26.9227.6628.40
Details

News Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. News is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the News' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold News Corporation, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of News within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.16
σ
Overall volatility
1.65
Ir
Information ratio 0

News Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of News for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for News can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

News Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of News Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential News' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. News' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding585.6 M

News Technical Analysis

News' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. News Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of News Corporation. In general, you should focus on analyzing News Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

News Predictive Forecast Models

News' time-series forecasting models is one of many News' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary News' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about News

Checking the ongoing alerts about News for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for News help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Other Information on Investing in News Stock

News financial ratios help investors to determine whether News Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in News with respect to the benefits of owning News security.