Northann Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.22
| NCL Stock | 0.25 0.03 10.71% |
Northann |
Northann Corp Target Price Odds to finish below 0.22
The tendency of Northann Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 0.22 or more in 90 days |
| 0.25 | 90 days | 0.22 | about 65.73 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Northann Corp to drop to 0.22 or more in 90 days from now is about 65.73 (This Northann Corp probability density function shows the probability of Northann Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Northann Corp price to stay between 0.22 and its current price of 0.25 at the end of the 90-day period is about 18.76 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.53 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Northann Corp will likely underperform. Additionally Northann Corp has an alpha of 0.3919, implying that it can generate a 0.39 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Northann Corp Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Northann Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Northann Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Northann Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Northann Corp Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Northann Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Northann Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Northann Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Northann Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.39 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.53 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.05 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Northann Corp Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Northann Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Northann Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Northann Corp is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Northann Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Northann Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Northann Corp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Northann Corp has 5.9 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.61, which is OK given its current industry classification. Northann Corp has a current ratio of 0.16, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Northann to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| The entity reported the last year's revenue of 13.97 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (7.13 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 0. | |
| Northann Corp has about 154.87 M in cash with (4.68 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.68, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 42.0% of Northann Corp outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Nova Lifestyle Stock Surges Over 5 percent Amid Market Activity - GuruFocus.com |
Northann Corp Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Northann Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Northann Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Northann Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 20.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.2 M |
Northann Corp Technical Analysis
Northann Corp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Northann Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Northann Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Northann Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Northann Corp Predictive Forecast Models
Northann Corp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Northann Corp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Northann Corp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Northann Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Northann Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Northann Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Northann Corp is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Northann Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Northann Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Northann Corp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Northann Corp has 5.9 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.61, which is OK given its current industry classification. Northann Corp has a current ratio of 0.16, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Northann to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| The entity reported the last year's revenue of 13.97 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (7.13 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 0. | |
| Northann Corp has about 154.87 M in cash with (4.68 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.68, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 42.0% of Northann Corp outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Nova Lifestyle Stock Surges Over 5 percent Amid Market Activity - GuruFocus.com |
Check out Northann Corp Backtesting, Northann Corp Valuation, Northann Corp Correlation, Northann Corp Hype Analysis, Northann Corp Volatility, Northann Corp History as well as Northann Corp Performance. For more information on how to buy Northann Stock please use our How to buy in Northann Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Is Building Products space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Northann Corp. If investors know Northann will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Northann Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.21) | Revenue Per Share 0.711 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.14) | Return On Assets (0.28) | Return On Equity (5.37) |
The market value of Northann Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Northann that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Northann Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Northann Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Northann Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Northann Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Northann Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Northann Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Northann Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.