Nine Dragons Paper Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 7.83

NDGPY Stock  USD 7.78  0.42  5.12%   
Nine Dragons' future price is the expected price of Nine Dragons instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Nine Dragons Paper performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Nine Dragons Backtesting, Nine Dragons Valuation, Nine Dragons Correlation, Nine Dragons Hype Analysis, Nine Dragons Volatility, Nine Dragons History as well as Nine Dragons Performance.
  
Please specify Nine Dragons' target price for which you would like Nine Dragons odds to be computed.

Nine Dragons Target Price Odds to finish over 7.83

The tendency of Nine Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 7.83  or more in 90 days
 7.78 90 days 7.83 
about 69.3
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nine Dragons to move over $ 7.83  or more in 90 days from now is about 69.3 (This Nine Dragons Paper probability density function shows the probability of Nine Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Nine Dragons Paper price to stay between its current price of $ 7.78  and $ 7.83  at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.48 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Nine Dragons Paper has a beta of -0.92. This indicates Additionally Nine Dragons Paper has an alpha of 0.2854, implying that it can generate a 0.29 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Nine Dragons Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Nine Dragons

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nine Dragons Paper. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.017.7813.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.377.1412.91
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.407.1712.94
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.787.787.78
Details

Nine Dragons Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nine Dragons is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nine Dragons' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nine Dragons Paper, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nine Dragons within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.29
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.92
σ
Overall volatility
1.17
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Nine Dragons Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nine Dragons for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nine Dragons Paper can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Nine Dragons Paper had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

Nine Dragons Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Nine Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Nine Dragons' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nine Dragons' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding4.7 B

Nine Dragons Technical Analysis

Nine Dragons' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nine Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nine Dragons Paper. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nine Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Nine Dragons Predictive Forecast Models

Nine Dragons' time-series forecasting models is one of many Nine Dragons' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Nine Dragons' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Nine Dragons Paper

Checking the ongoing alerts about Nine Dragons for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Nine Dragons Paper help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Nine Dragons Paper had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

Additional Tools for Nine Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Nine Dragons' price analysis, check to measure Nine Dragons' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nine Dragons is operating at the current time. Most of Nine Dragons' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nine Dragons' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nine Dragons' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nine Dragons to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.