Nine Entertainment (Australia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 7.29

NEC Stock   1.25  0.01  0.79%   
Nine Entertainment's future price is the expected price of Nine Entertainment instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Nine Entertainment Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Nine Entertainment Backtesting, Nine Entertainment Valuation, Nine Entertainment Correlation, Nine Entertainment Hype Analysis, Nine Entertainment Volatility, Nine Entertainment History as well as Nine Entertainment Performance.
  
Please specify Nine Entertainment's target price for which you would like Nine Entertainment odds to be computed.

Nine Entertainment Target Price Odds to finish over 7.29

The tendency of Nine Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  7.29  or more in 90 days
 1.25 90 days 7.29 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nine Entertainment to move over  7.29  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Nine Entertainment Co probability density function shows the probability of Nine Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Nine Entertainment price to stay between its current price of  1.25  and  7.29  at the end of the 90-day period is about 33.69 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Nine Entertainment has a beta of 0.29. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Nine Entertainment average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Nine Entertainment Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Nine Entertainment Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Nine Entertainment Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Nine Entertainment

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nine Entertainment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.061.253.08
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.061.233.06
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.031.273.10
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.040.040.04
Details

Nine Entertainment Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nine Entertainment is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nine Entertainment's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nine Entertainment Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nine Entertainment within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.29
σ
Overall volatility
0.05
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Nine Entertainment Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nine Entertainment for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nine Entertainment can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Nine Entertainment generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Nine Entertainment may become a speculative penny stock
About 61.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Director Increases Stake in Nine Entertainment Co. - MSN

Nine Entertainment Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Nine Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Nine Entertainment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nine Entertainment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.6 B
Cash And Short Term Investments92.9 M

Nine Entertainment Technical Analysis

Nine Entertainment's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nine Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nine Entertainment Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nine Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Nine Entertainment Predictive Forecast Models

Nine Entertainment's time-series forecasting models is one of many Nine Entertainment's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Nine Entertainment's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Nine Entertainment

Checking the ongoing alerts about Nine Entertainment for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Nine Entertainment help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Nine Entertainment generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Nine Entertainment may become a speculative penny stock
About 61.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Director Increases Stake in Nine Entertainment Co. - MSN

Additional Tools for Nine Stock Analysis

When running Nine Entertainment's price analysis, check to measure Nine Entertainment's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nine Entertainment is operating at the current time. Most of Nine Entertainment's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nine Entertainment's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nine Entertainment's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nine Entertainment to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.