Neffs Bancorp Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 350.0
| NEFB Stock | USD 280.00 80.00 40.00% |
Neffs |
Neffs Bancorp Target Price Odds to finish over 350.0
The tendency of Neffs Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 350.00 or more in 90 days |
| 280.00 | 90 days | 350.00 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Neffs Bancorp to move over $ 350.00 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Neffs Bancorp probability density function shows the probability of Neffs Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Neffs Bancorp price to stay between its current price of $ 280.00 and $ 350.00 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Neffs Bancorp has a beta of 0.68. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Neffs Bancorp average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Neffs Bancorp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Neffs Bancorp has an alpha of 0.5481, implying that it can generate a 0.55 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Neffs Bancorp Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Neffs Bancorp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Neffs Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Neffs Bancorp Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Neffs Bancorp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Neffs Bancorp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Neffs Bancorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Neffs Bancorp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.55 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.68 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 24.61 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
Neffs Bancorp Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Neffs Bancorp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Neffs Bancorp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Neffs Bancorp is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Neffs Bancorp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues |
Neffs Bancorp Technical Analysis
Neffs Bancorp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Neffs Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Neffs Bancorp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Neffs Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Neffs Bancorp Predictive Forecast Models
Neffs Bancorp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Neffs Bancorp's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Neffs Bancorp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Neffs Bancorp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Neffs Bancorp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Neffs Bancorp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Neffs Bancorp is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Neffs Bancorp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues |
Other Information on Investing in Neffs Pink Sheet
Neffs Bancorp financial ratios help investors to determine whether Neffs Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Neffs with respect to the benefits of owning Neffs Bancorp security.