NEIMETH INTERNATIONAL (Nigeria) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.0
| NEIMETH Stock | 2.05 0.14 7.33% |
NEIMETH |
NEIMETH INTERNATIONAL Target Price Odds to finish below 2.0
The tendency of NEIMETH Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 2.00 or more in 90 days |
| 2.05 | 90 days | 2.00 | about 53.78 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NEIMETH INTERNATIONAL to drop to 2.00 or more in 90 days from now is about 53.78 (This NEIMETH INTERNATIONAL PHARMACEUTICAL probability density function shows the probability of NEIMETH Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of NEIMETH INTERNATIONAL price to stay between 2.00 and its current price of 2.05 at the end of the 90-day period is about 18.77 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon NEIMETH INTERNATIONAL has a beta of 0.0582. This indicates as returns on the market go up, NEIMETH INTERNATIONAL average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding NEIMETH INTERNATIONAL PHARMACEUTICAL will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally NEIMETH INTERNATIONAL PHARMACEUTICAL has an alpha of 0.1001, implying that it can generate a 0.1 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). NEIMETH INTERNATIONAL Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for NEIMETH INTERNATIONAL
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NEIMETH INTERNATIONAL. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of NEIMETH INTERNATIONAL's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
NEIMETH INTERNATIONAL Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. NEIMETH INTERNATIONAL is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the NEIMETH INTERNATIONAL's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NEIMETH INTERNATIONAL PHARMACEUTICAL, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of NEIMETH INTERNATIONAL within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.10 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.1 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
NEIMETH INTERNATIONAL Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of NEIMETH INTERNATIONAL for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for NEIMETH INTERNATIONAL can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| NEIMETH INTERNATIONAL had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |
NEIMETH INTERNATIONAL Technical Analysis
NEIMETH INTERNATIONAL's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. NEIMETH Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of NEIMETH INTERNATIONAL PHARMACEUTICAL. In general, you should focus on analyzing NEIMETH Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
NEIMETH INTERNATIONAL Predictive Forecast Models
NEIMETH INTERNATIONAL's time-series forecasting models is one of many NEIMETH INTERNATIONAL's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary NEIMETH INTERNATIONAL's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about NEIMETH INTERNATIONAL
Checking the ongoing alerts about NEIMETH INTERNATIONAL for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for NEIMETH INTERNATIONAL help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| NEIMETH INTERNATIONAL had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |