Wattana Karnpaet (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 55.41
| NEW Stock | THB 70.00 6.00 9.38% |
Wattana |
Wattana Karnpaet Target Price Odds to finish below 55.41
The tendency of Wattana Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 55.41 or more in 90 days |
| 70.00 | 90 days | 55.41 | about 7.75 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Wattana Karnpaet to drop to 55.41 or more in 90 days from now is about 7.75 (This Wattana Karnpaet Public probability density function shows the probability of Wattana Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Wattana Karnpaet Public price to stay between 55.41 and its current price of 70.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 44.01 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Wattana Karnpaet Public has a beta of -1.41. This indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Wattana Karnpaet Public are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Wattana Karnpaet is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Wattana Karnpaet Public has an alpha of 0.2163, implying that it can generate a 0.22 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Wattana Karnpaet Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Wattana Karnpaet
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wattana Karnpaet Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Wattana Karnpaet Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Wattana Karnpaet is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Wattana Karnpaet's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Wattana Karnpaet Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Wattana Karnpaet within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.22 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.41 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 9.96 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.01 |
Wattana Karnpaet Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Wattana Karnpaet for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Wattana Karnpaet Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Wattana Karnpaet had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Wattana Karnpaet Public has accumulated 19.32 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 17.6, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Wattana Karnpaet Public has a current ratio of 0.88, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Wattana Karnpaet until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Wattana Karnpaet's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Wattana Karnpaet Public sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Wattana to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Wattana Karnpaet's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 91.0% of Wattana Karnpaet outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Wattana Karnpaet Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Wattana Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Wattana Karnpaet's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Wattana Karnpaet's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 10 M |
Wattana Karnpaet Technical Analysis
Wattana Karnpaet's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Wattana Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Wattana Karnpaet Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Wattana Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Wattana Karnpaet Predictive Forecast Models
Wattana Karnpaet's time-series forecasting models is one of many Wattana Karnpaet's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Wattana Karnpaet's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Wattana Karnpaet Public
Checking the ongoing alerts about Wattana Karnpaet for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Wattana Karnpaet Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Wattana Karnpaet had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Wattana Karnpaet Public has accumulated 19.32 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 17.6, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Wattana Karnpaet Public has a current ratio of 0.88, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Wattana Karnpaet until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Wattana Karnpaet's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Wattana Karnpaet Public sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Wattana to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Wattana Karnpaet's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 91.0% of Wattana Karnpaet outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Wattana Stock
Wattana Karnpaet financial ratios help investors to determine whether Wattana Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Wattana with respect to the benefits of owning Wattana Karnpaet security.