New Wave (Sweden) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 108.8

NEWA-B Stock  SEK 96.75  0.46  0.48%   
New Wave's future price is the expected price of New Wave instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of New Wave Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out New Wave Backtesting, New Wave Valuation, New Wave Correlation, New Wave Hype Analysis, New Wave Volatility, New Wave History as well as New Wave Performance.
  
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New Wave Target Price Odds to finish below 108.8

The tendency of New Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under kr 108.80  after 90 days
 96.75 90 days 108.80 
about 69.63
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of New Wave to stay under kr 108.80  after 90 days from now is about 69.63 (This New Wave Group probability density function shows the probability of New Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of New Wave Group price to stay between its current price of kr 96.75  and kr 108.80  at the end of the 90-day period is about 63.21 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon New Wave Group has a beta of -0.87. This indicates Additionally New Wave Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   New Wave Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for New Wave

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as New Wave Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
94.6196.7598.89
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
82.1084.24106.43
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
99.99102.13104.27
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
93.3095.5797.84
Details

New Wave Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. New Wave is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the New Wave's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold New Wave Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of New Wave within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.87
σ
Overall volatility
5.95
Ir
Information ratio -0.15

New Wave Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of New Wave for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for New Wave Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
New Wave Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
New Wave Group has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 14.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

New Wave Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of New Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential New Wave's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. New Wave's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding66.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments327.9 M

New Wave Technical Analysis

New Wave's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. New Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of New Wave Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing New Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

New Wave Predictive Forecast Models

New Wave's time-series forecasting models is one of many New Wave's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary New Wave's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about New Wave Group

Checking the ongoing alerts about New Wave for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for New Wave Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
New Wave Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
New Wave Group has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 14.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in New Stock

New Wave financial ratios help investors to determine whether New Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in New with respect to the benefits of owning New Wave security.