News Network (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.03

NEWS Stock  THB 0.01  0.01  50.00%   
News Network's future price is the expected price of News Network instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of News Network performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out News Network Backtesting, News Network Valuation, News Network Correlation, News Network Hype Analysis, News Network Volatility, News Network History as well as News Network Performance.
  
Please specify News Network's target price for which you would like News Network odds to be computed.

News Network Target Price Odds to finish over 0.03

The tendency of News Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  0.03  or more in 90 days
 0.01 90 days 0.03 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of News Network to move over  0.03  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This News Network probability density function shows the probability of News Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of News Network price to stay between its current price of  0.01  and  0.03  at the end of the 90-day period is about 60.48 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon News Network has a beta of -0.18. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding News Network are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, News Network is likely to outperform the market. In addition to that News Network has an alpha of 3.8005, implying that it can generate a 3.8 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   News Network Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for News Network

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as News Network. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0150.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0150.51
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00020.01129.22
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
00.010.02
Details

News Network Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. News Network is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the News Network's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold News Network, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of News Network within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
3.80
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.18
σ
Overall volatility
0
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

News Network Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of News Network for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for News Network can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
News Network is way too risky over 90 days horizon
News Network has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
News Network appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
News Network has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
News Network has accumulated 361.43 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 549.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. News Network has a current ratio of 0.43, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist News Network until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, News Network's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like News Network sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for News to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about News Network's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
News Network has accumulated about 48.56 M in cash with (55.87 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 62.0% of News Network outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

News Network Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of News Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential News Network's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. News Network's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding75.7 B

News Network Technical Analysis

News Network's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. News Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of News Network. In general, you should focus on analyzing News Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

News Network Predictive Forecast Models

News Network's time-series forecasting models is one of many News Network's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary News Network's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about News Network

Checking the ongoing alerts about News Network for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for News Network help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
News Network is way too risky over 90 days horizon
News Network has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
News Network appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
News Network has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
News Network has accumulated 361.43 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 549.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. News Network has a current ratio of 0.43, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist News Network until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, News Network's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like News Network sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for News to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about News Network's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
News Network has accumulated about 48.56 M in cash with (55.87 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 62.0% of News Network outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in News Stock

News Network financial ratios help investors to determine whether News Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in News with respect to the benefits of owning News Network security.