Nex Point (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.78
| NEX Stock | THB 0.78 0.07 9.86% |
Nex |
Nex Point Target Price Odds to finish below 0.78
The tendency of Nex Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 0.78 | 90 days | 0.78 | about 15.81 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nex Point to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 15.81 (This Nex Point Public probability density function shows the probability of Nex Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Nex Point has a beta of 0.2. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Nex Point average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Nex Point Public will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Nex Point Public has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Nex Point Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Nex Point
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nex Point Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Nex Point Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nex Point is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nex Point's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nex Point Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nex Point within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.20 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.23 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Nex Point Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nex Point for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nex Point Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Nex Point Public is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Nex Point Public has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Nex Point Public appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Nex Point Public has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 666.46 M. Net Loss for the year was (106.87 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 147.39 M. | |
| About 72.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Nex Point Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Nex Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Nex Point's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nex Point's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.7 B |
Nex Point Technical Analysis
Nex Point's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nex Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nex Point Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nex Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Nex Point Predictive Forecast Models
Nex Point's time-series forecasting models is one of many Nex Point's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Nex Point's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Nex Point Public
Checking the ongoing alerts about Nex Point for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Nex Point Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Nex Point Public is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Nex Point Public has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Nex Point Public appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Nex Point Public has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 666.46 M. Net Loss for the year was (106.87 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 147.39 M. | |
| About 72.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Nex Stock
Nex Point financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nex Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nex with respect to the benefits of owning Nex Point security.