Newfound Risk Managed Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 9.65
| NFDIXDelisted Fund | USD 10.53 0.00 0.00% |
Newfound |
Newfound Risk Target Price Odds to finish over 9.65
The tendency of Newfound Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 9.65 in 90 days |
| 10.53 | 90 days | 9.65 | about 88.77 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Newfound Risk to stay above $ 9.65 in 90 days from now is about 88.77 (This Newfound Risk Managed probability density function shows the probability of Newfound Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Newfound Risk Managed price to stay between $ 9.65 and its current price of $10.53 at the end of the 90-day period is about 86.08 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Newfound Risk Managed has a beta of -0.33. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Newfound Risk are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Newfound Risk Managed is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Newfound Risk Managed has an alpha of 0.1351, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Newfound Risk Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Newfound Risk
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Newfound Risk Managed. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Newfound Risk Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Newfound Risk is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Newfound Risk's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Newfound Risk Managed, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Newfound Risk within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.33 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.28 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Newfound Risk Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Newfound Risk for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Newfound Risk Managed can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Newfound Risk is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Newfound Risk has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The fund generated three year return of -1.0% | |
| Newfound Risk Managed maintains 97.06% of its assets in stocks |
Newfound Risk Technical Analysis
Newfound Risk's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Newfound Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Newfound Risk Managed. In general, you should focus on analyzing Newfound Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Newfound Risk Predictive Forecast Models
Newfound Risk's time-series forecasting models is one of many Newfound Risk's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Newfound Risk's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Newfound Risk Managed
Checking the ongoing alerts about Newfound Risk for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Newfound Risk Managed help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Newfound Risk is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Newfound Risk has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The fund generated three year return of -1.0% | |
| Newfound Risk Managed maintains 97.06% of its assets in stocks |
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product. You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.
Other Consideration for investing in Newfound Mutual Fund
If you are still planning to invest in Newfound Risk Managed check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Newfound Risk's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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