Exploits Discovery Corp Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 5.54

NFLDF Stock  USD 0.04  0  2.70%   
Exploits Discovery's future price is the expected price of Exploits Discovery instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Exploits Discovery Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Exploits Discovery Backtesting, Exploits Discovery Valuation, Exploits Discovery Correlation, Exploits Discovery Hype Analysis, Exploits Discovery Volatility, Exploits Discovery History as well as Exploits Discovery Performance.
  
Please specify Exploits Discovery's target price for which you would like Exploits Discovery odds to be computed.

Exploits Discovery Target Price Odds to finish over 5.54

The tendency of Exploits OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 5.54  or more in 90 days
 0.04 90 days 5.54 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Exploits Discovery to move over $ 5.54  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Exploits Discovery Corp probability density function shows the probability of Exploits OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Exploits Discovery Corp price to stay between its current price of $ 0.04  and $ 5.54  at the end of the 90-day period is about 98.0 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Exploits Discovery has a beta of 0.46. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Exploits Discovery average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Exploits Discovery Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Exploits Discovery Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Exploits Discovery Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Exploits Discovery

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Exploits Discovery Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Exploits Discovery's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.045.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.035.54
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00070.045.54
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.040.040.04
Details

Exploits Discovery Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Exploits Discovery is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Exploits Discovery's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Exploits Discovery Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Exploits Discovery within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.55
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.46
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

Exploits Discovery Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Exploits Discovery for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Exploits Discovery Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Exploits Discovery generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Exploits Discovery has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Exploits Discovery has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Exploits Discovery has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (10.4 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Exploits Discovery Corp has accumulated about 10.96 M in cash with (9.26 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.09, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 42.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: i-80 Gold Market Overreaction Presents Opportunity - Seeking Alpha

Exploits Discovery Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Exploits OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Exploits Discovery's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Exploits Discovery's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding103.5 M

Exploits Discovery Technical Analysis

Exploits Discovery's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Exploits OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Exploits Discovery Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Exploits OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Exploits Discovery Predictive Forecast Models

Exploits Discovery's time-series forecasting models is one of many Exploits Discovery's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Exploits Discovery's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Exploits Discovery Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Exploits Discovery for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Exploits Discovery Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Exploits Discovery generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Exploits Discovery has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Exploits Discovery has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Exploits Discovery has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (10.4 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Exploits Discovery Corp has accumulated about 10.96 M in cash with (9.26 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.09, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 42.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: i-80 Gold Market Overreaction Presents Opportunity - Seeking Alpha

Other Information on Investing in Exploits OTC Stock

Exploits Discovery financial ratios help investors to determine whether Exploits OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Exploits with respect to the benefits of owning Exploits Discovery security.