Norfolk Southern (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 173.04
| NFS Stock | EUR 246.00 2.00 0.81% |
Norfolk |
Norfolk Southern Target Price Odds to finish below 173.04
The tendency of Norfolk Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 173.04 or more in 90 days |
| 246.00 | 90 days | 173.04 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Norfolk Southern to drop to € 173.04 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Norfolk Southern probability density function shows the probability of Norfolk Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Norfolk Southern price to stay between € 173.04 and its current price of €246.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 76.56 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.2 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Norfolk Southern will likely underperform. Additionally Norfolk Southern has an alpha of 0.0116, implying that it can generate a 0.0116 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Norfolk Southern Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Norfolk Southern
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Norfolk Southern. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Norfolk Southern Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Norfolk Southern is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Norfolk Southern's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Norfolk Southern, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Norfolk Southern within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.20 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 14.62 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Norfolk Southern Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Norfolk Southern for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Norfolk Southern can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Norfolk Southern has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Norfolk Southern has accumulated 14.48 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 80.6, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Norfolk Southern has a current ratio of 0.76, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Norfolk Southern until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Norfolk Southern's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Norfolk Southern sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Norfolk to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Norfolk Southern's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Over 77.0% of Norfolk Southern shares are owned by institutional investors |
Norfolk Southern Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Norfolk Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Norfolk Southern's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Norfolk Southern's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 228.1 M |
Norfolk Southern Technical Analysis
Norfolk Southern's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Norfolk Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Norfolk Southern. In general, you should focus on analyzing Norfolk Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Norfolk Southern Predictive Forecast Models
Norfolk Southern's time-series forecasting models is one of many Norfolk Southern's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Norfolk Southern's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Norfolk Southern
Checking the ongoing alerts about Norfolk Southern for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Norfolk Southern help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Norfolk Southern has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Norfolk Southern has accumulated 14.48 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 80.6, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Norfolk Southern has a current ratio of 0.76, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Norfolk Southern until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Norfolk Southern's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Norfolk Southern sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Norfolk to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Norfolk Southern's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Over 77.0% of Norfolk Southern shares are owned by institutional investors |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Norfolk Stock
When determining whether Norfolk Southern offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Norfolk Southern's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Norfolk Southern Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Norfolk Southern Stock:Check out Norfolk Southern Backtesting, Norfolk Southern Valuation, Norfolk Southern Correlation, Norfolk Southern Hype Analysis, Norfolk Southern Volatility, Norfolk Southern History as well as Norfolk Southern Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Norfolk Stock please use our How to Invest in Norfolk Southern guide.You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..