Hanoi Plastics (Vietnam) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 12974.31

NHH Stock   13,150  200.00  1.54%   
Hanoi Plastics' future price is the expected price of Hanoi Plastics instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Hanoi Plastics JSC performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Hanoi Plastics Backtesting, Hanoi Plastics Valuation, Hanoi Plastics Correlation, Hanoi Plastics Hype Analysis, Hanoi Plastics Volatility, Hanoi Plastics History as well as Hanoi Plastics Performance.
  
Please specify Hanoi Plastics' target price for which you would like Hanoi Plastics odds to be computed.

Hanoi Plastics Target Price Odds to finish below 12974.31

The tendency of Hanoi Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  12,974  or more in 90 days
 13,150 90 days 12,974 
about 1.64
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hanoi Plastics to drop to  12,974  or more in 90 days from now is about 1.64 (This Hanoi Plastics JSC probability density function shows the probability of Hanoi Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hanoi Plastics JSC price to stay between  12,974  and its current price of 13150.0 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.05 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Hanoi Plastics has a beta of 0.0568. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Hanoi Plastics average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Hanoi Plastics JSC will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Hanoi Plastics JSC has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Hanoi Plastics Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Hanoi Plastics

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hanoi Plastics JSC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13,14913,15013,151
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10,78210,78314,465
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
13,34713,34913,350
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12,81513,03013,245
Details

Hanoi Plastics Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hanoi Plastics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hanoi Plastics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hanoi Plastics JSC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hanoi Plastics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.15
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.06
σ
Overall volatility
512.98
Ir
Information ratio -0.25

Hanoi Plastics Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hanoi Plastics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hanoi Plastics JSC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Hanoi Plastics JSC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Hanoi Plastics Technical Analysis

Hanoi Plastics' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hanoi Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hanoi Plastics JSC. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hanoi Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Hanoi Plastics Predictive Forecast Models

Hanoi Plastics' time-series forecasting models is one of many Hanoi Plastics' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hanoi Plastics' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Hanoi Plastics JSC

Checking the ongoing alerts about Hanoi Plastics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hanoi Plastics JSC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Hanoi Plastics JSC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Hanoi Stock

Hanoi Plastics financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hanoi Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hanoi with respect to the benefits of owning Hanoi Plastics security.