NIBE Industrier (Switzerland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.19
| NIBEB Stock | CHF 3.83 0.02 0.52% |
NIBE |
NIBE Industrier Target Price Odds to finish below 0.19
The tendency of NIBE Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to ₣ 0.19 or more in 90 days |
| 3.83 | 90 days | 0.19 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NIBE Industrier to drop to ₣ 0.19 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This NIBE Industrier AB probability density function shows the probability of NIBE Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of NIBE Industrier AB price to stay between ₣ 0.19 and its current price of ₣3.83 at the end of the 90-day period is about 26.69 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon NIBE Industrier AB has a beta of -0.39. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding NIBE Industrier are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, NIBE Industrier AB is likely to outperform the market. Additionally NIBE Industrier AB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. NIBE Industrier Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for NIBE Industrier
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NIBE Industrier AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.NIBE Industrier Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. NIBE Industrier is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the NIBE Industrier's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NIBE Industrier AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of NIBE Industrier within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.39 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.29 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
NIBE Industrier Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of NIBE Industrier for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for NIBE Industrier AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| NIBE Industrier AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| NIBE Industrier AB has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 21.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
NIBE Industrier Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of NIBE Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential NIBE Industrier's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NIBE Industrier's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.7 B |
NIBE Industrier Technical Analysis
NIBE Industrier's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. NIBE Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of NIBE Industrier AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing NIBE Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
NIBE Industrier Predictive Forecast Models
NIBE Industrier's time-series forecasting models is one of many NIBE Industrier's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary NIBE Industrier's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about NIBE Industrier AB
Checking the ongoing alerts about NIBE Industrier for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for NIBE Industrier AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| NIBE Industrier AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| NIBE Industrier AB has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 21.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Additional Tools for NIBE Stock Analysis
When running NIBE Industrier's price analysis, check to measure NIBE Industrier's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NIBE Industrier is operating at the current time. Most of NIBE Industrier's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NIBE Industrier's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NIBE Industrier's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NIBE Industrier to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.