Charnic Capital (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 643.57
| NICK Stock | IDR 640.00 5.00 0.78% |
Charnic |
Charnic Capital Target Price Odds to finish over 643.57
The tendency of Charnic Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 643.57 or more in 90 days |
| 640.00 | 90 days | 643.57 | about 20.01 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Charnic Capital to move over 643.57 or more in 90 days from now is about 20.01 (This Charnic Capital Tbk probability density function shows the probability of Charnic Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Charnic Capital Tbk price to stay between its current price of 640.00 and 643.57 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.87 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Charnic Capital has a beta of 0.75. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Charnic Capital average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Charnic Capital Tbk will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Charnic Capital Tbk has an alpha of 0.3736, implying that it can generate a 0.37 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Charnic Capital Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Charnic Capital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Charnic Capital Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Charnic Capital Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Charnic Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Charnic Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Charnic Capital Tbk, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Charnic Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.37 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.75 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 36.31 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Charnic Capital Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Charnic Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Charnic Capital Tbk can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Charnic Capital Tbk had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 82.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Charnic Capital Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Charnic Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Charnic Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Charnic Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 651.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 304.3 B |
Charnic Capital Technical Analysis
Charnic Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Charnic Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Charnic Capital Tbk. In general, you should focus on analyzing Charnic Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Charnic Capital Predictive Forecast Models
Charnic Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many Charnic Capital's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Charnic Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Charnic Capital Tbk
Checking the ongoing alerts about Charnic Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Charnic Capital Tbk help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Charnic Capital Tbk had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 82.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Charnic Stock
Charnic Capital financial ratios help investors to determine whether Charnic Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Charnic with respect to the benefits of owning Charnic Capital security.