Pelat Timah (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 265.85
| NIKL Stock | IDR 264.00 4.00 1.54% |
Pelat |
Pelat Timah Target Price Odds to finish below 265.85
The tendency of Pelat Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 265.85 after 90 days |
| 264.00 | 90 days | 265.85 | about 47.18 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pelat Timah to stay under 265.85 after 90 days from now is about 47.18 (This Pelat Timah Nusantara probability density function shows the probability of Pelat Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Pelat Timah Nusantara price to stay between its current price of 264.00 and 265.85 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Pelat Timah Nusantara has a beta of -0.8. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Pelat Timah are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Pelat Timah Nusantara is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Pelat Timah Nusantara has an alpha of 0.2007, implying that it can generate a 0.2 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Pelat Timah Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Pelat Timah
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pelat Timah Nusantara. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Pelat Timah Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pelat Timah is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pelat Timah's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pelat Timah Nusantara, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pelat Timah within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.20 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.8 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 19.64 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0065 |
Pelat Timah Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pelat Timah for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pelat Timah Nusantara can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Pelat Timah had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Pelat Timah Nusantara has accumulated about 27.82 M in cash with (1.69 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 85.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Pelat Timah Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Pelat Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Pelat Timah's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pelat Timah's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.5 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 27.8 M |
Pelat Timah Technical Analysis
Pelat Timah's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pelat Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pelat Timah Nusantara. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pelat Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Pelat Timah Predictive Forecast Models
Pelat Timah's time-series forecasting models is one of many Pelat Timah's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pelat Timah's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Pelat Timah Nusantara
Checking the ongoing alerts about Pelat Timah for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pelat Timah Nusantara help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Pelat Timah had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Pelat Timah Nusantara has accumulated about 27.82 M in cash with (1.69 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 85.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Pelat Stock
Pelat Timah financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pelat Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pelat with respect to the benefits of owning Pelat Timah security.