Niloerngruppen (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 66.32

NIL-B Stock  SEK 67.80  0.40  0.59%   
Niloerngruppen's future price is the expected price of Niloerngruppen instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Niloerngruppen AB Series performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Niloerngruppen Backtesting, Niloerngruppen Valuation, Niloerngruppen Correlation, Niloerngruppen Hype Analysis, Niloerngruppen Volatility, Niloerngruppen History as well as Niloerngruppen Performance.
  
Please specify Niloerngruppen's target price for which you would like Niloerngruppen odds to be computed.

Niloerngruppen Target Price Odds to finish below 66.32

The tendency of Niloerngruppen Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to kr 66.32  or more in 90 days
 67.80 90 days 66.32 
about 48.3
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Niloerngruppen to drop to kr 66.32  or more in 90 days from now is about 48.3 (This Niloerngruppen AB Series probability density function shows the probability of Niloerngruppen Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Niloerngruppen AB Series price to stay between kr 66.32  and its current price of kr67.8 at the end of the 90-day period is about 21.96 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Niloerngruppen AB Series has a beta of -0.12. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Niloerngruppen are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Niloerngruppen AB Series is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Niloerngruppen AB Series has an alpha of 0.0157, implying that it can generate a 0.0157 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Niloerngruppen Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Niloerngruppen

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Niloerngruppen AB Series. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
66.3267.8069.28
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
55.3056.7874.58
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
66.9668.4469.92
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
66.1967.4668.73
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Niloerngruppen. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Niloerngruppen's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Niloerngruppen's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Niloerngruppen AB Series.

Niloerngruppen Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Niloerngruppen is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Niloerngruppen's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Niloerngruppen AB Series, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Niloerngruppen within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.12
σ
Overall volatility
2.57
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Niloerngruppen Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Niloerngruppen for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Niloerngruppen AB Series can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 19.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Niloerngruppen Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Niloerngruppen Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Niloerngruppen's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Niloerngruppen's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding107.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments116.4 M

Niloerngruppen Technical Analysis

Niloerngruppen's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Niloerngruppen Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Niloerngruppen AB Series. In general, you should focus on analyzing Niloerngruppen Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Niloerngruppen Predictive Forecast Models

Niloerngruppen's time-series forecasting models is one of many Niloerngruppen's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Niloerngruppen's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Niloerngruppen AB Series

Checking the ongoing alerts about Niloerngruppen for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Niloerngruppen AB Series help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 19.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Additional Tools for Niloerngruppen Stock Analysis

When running Niloerngruppen's price analysis, check to measure Niloerngruppen's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Niloerngruppen is operating at the current time. Most of Niloerngruppen's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Niloerngruppen's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Niloerngruppen's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Niloerngruppen to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.