Surge Battery Metals Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.01

NILIF Stock  USD 0.28  0.01  3.70%   
Surge Battery's future price is the expected price of Surge Battery instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Surge Battery Metals performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Surge Battery Backtesting, Surge Battery Valuation, Surge Battery Correlation, Surge Battery Hype Analysis, Surge Battery Volatility, Surge Battery History as well as Surge Battery Performance.
  
Please specify Surge Battery's target price for which you would like Surge Battery odds to be computed.

Surge Battery Target Price Odds to finish below 0.01

The tendency of Surge Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 0.01  or more in 90 days
 0.28 90 days 0.01 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Surge Battery to drop to $ 0.01  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Surge Battery Metals probability density function shows the probability of Surge Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Surge Battery Metals price to stay between $ 0.01  and its current price of $0.28 at the end of the 90-day period is about 41.31 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Surge Battery has a beta of 0.69. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Surge Battery average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Surge Battery Metals will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Surge Battery Metals has an alpha of 0.1613, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Surge Battery Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Surge Battery

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Surge Battery Metals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.285.86
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.245.82
Details

Surge Battery Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Surge Battery is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Surge Battery's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Surge Battery Metals, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Surge Battery within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.16
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.69
σ
Overall volatility
0.05
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Surge Battery Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Surge Battery for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Surge Battery Metals can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Surge Battery Metals had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Surge Battery Metals has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Surge Battery Metals has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (2.15 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Surge Battery Metals has accumulated about 2.83 M in cash with (2.04 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.03.

Surge Battery Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Surge Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Surge Battery's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Surge Battery's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding94.5 M

Surge Battery Technical Analysis

Surge Battery's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Surge Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Surge Battery Metals. In general, you should focus on analyzing Surge Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Surge Battery Predictive Forecast Models

Surge Battery's time-series forecasting models is one of many Surge Battery's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Surge Battery's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Surge Battery Metals

Checking the ongoing alerts about Surge Battery for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Surge Battery Metals help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Surge Battery Metals had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Surge Battery Metals has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Surge Battery Metals has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (2.15 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Surge Battery Metals has accumulated about 2.83 M in cash with (2.04 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.03.

Other Information on Investing in Surge Pink Sheet

Surge Battery financial ratios help investors to determine whether Surge Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Surge with respect to the benefits of owning Surge Battery security.