New Jersey Tax Free Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 11.48
| NJTFX Fund | USD 11.54 0.03 0.26% |
New |
New Jersey Target Price Odds to finish over 11.48
The tendency of New Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 11.48 in 90 days |
| 11.54 | 90 days | 11.48 | about 23.67 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of New Jersey to stay above $ 11.48 in 90 days from now is about 23.67 (This New Jersey Tax Free probability density function shows the probability of New Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of New Jersey Tax price to stay between $ 11.48 and its current price of $11.54 at the end of the 90-day period is about 20.02 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon New Jersey Tax Free has a beta of -0.0797. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding New Jersey are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, New Jersey Tax Free is likely to outperform the market. Additionally New Jersey Tax Free has an alpha of 0.0243, implying that it can generate a 0.0243 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). New Jersey Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for New Jersey
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as New Jersey Tax. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.New Jersey Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. New Jersey is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the New Jersey's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold New Jersey Tax Free, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of New Jersey within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.06 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.5 |
New Jersey Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of New Jersey for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for New Jersey Tax can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund maintains about 99.14% of its assets in bonds |
New Jersey Technical Analysis
New Jersey's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. New Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of New Jersey Tax Free. In general, you should focus on analyzing New Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
New Jersey Predictive Forecast Models
New Jersey's time-series forecasting models is one of many New Jersey's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary New Jersey's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about New Jersey Tax
Checking the ongoing alerts about New Jersey for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for New Jersey Tax help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund maintains about 99.14% of its assets in bonds |
Other Information on Investing in New Mutual Fund
New Jersey financial ratios help investors to determine whether New Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in New with respect to the benefits of owning New Jersey security.
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