Nls Pharmaceutics Ag Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.03
| NLSP Stock | USD 1.98 0.02 1.00% |
NLS |
NLS Pharmaceutics Target Price Odds to finish below 3.03
The tendency of NLS Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 3.03 after 90 days |
| 1.98 | 90 days | 3.03 | about 10.53 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NLS Pharmaceutics to stay under $ 3.03 after 90 days from now is about 10.53 (This NLS Pharmaceutics AG probability density function shows the probability of NLS Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of NLS Pharmaceutics price to stay between its current price of $ 1.98 and $ 3.03 at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.49 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.95 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, NLS Pharmaceutics will likely underperform. Additionally NLS Pharmaceutics AG has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. NLS Pharmaceutics Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for NLS Pharmaceutics
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NLS Pharmaceutics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of NLS Pharmaceutics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
NLS Pharmaceutics Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. NLS Pharmaceutics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the NLS Pharmaceutics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NLS Pharmaceutics AG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of NLS Pharmaceutics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -1.44 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.95 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.00 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.21 |
NLS Pharmaceutics Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of NLS Pharmaceutics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for NLS Pharmaceutics can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| NLS Pharmaceutics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| NLS Pharmaceutics has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| NLS Pharmaceutics may become a speculative penny stock | |
| NLS Pharmaceutics has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| NLS Pharmaceutics AG currently holds 1.63 M in liabilities. NLS Pharmaceutics has a current ratio of 0.58, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about NLS Pharmaceutics' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Net Loss for the year was (12.17 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| NLS Pharmaceutics AG currently holds about 1.35 M in cash with (9.68 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.08. | |
| NLS Pharmaceutics has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 41.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: NLS Pharmaceutics Ltd. Announces Pricing of Private Placement of up to 1 Million at a 15 percent Premium to the Market |
NLS Pharmaceutics Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of NLS Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential NLS Pharmaceutics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NLS Pharmaceutics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 38.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 897.7 K |
NLS Pharmaceutics Technical Analysis
NLS Pharmaceutics' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. NLS Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of NLS Pharmaceutics AG. In general, you should focus on analyzing NLS Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
NLS Pharmaceutics Predictive Forecast Models
NLS Pharmaceutics' time-series forecasting models is one of many NLS Pharmaceutics' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary NLS Pharmaceutics' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about NLS Pharmaceutics
Checking the ongoing alerts about NLS Pharmaceutics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for NLS Pharmaceutics help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| NLS Pharmaceutics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| NLS Pharmaceutics has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| NLS Pharmaceutics may become a speculative penny stock | |
| NLS Pharmaceutics has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| NLS Pharmaceutics AG currently holds 1.63 M in liabilities. NLS Pharmaceutics has a current ratio of 0.58, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about NLS Pharmaceutics' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Net Loss for the year was (12.17 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| NLS Pharmaceutics AG currently holds about 1.35 M in cash with (9.68 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.08. | |
| NLS Pharmaceutics has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 41.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: NLS Pharmaceutics Ltd. Announces Pricing of Private Placement of up to 1 Million at a 15 percent Premium to the Market |
Additional Tools for NLS Stock Analysis
When running NLS Pharmaceutics' price analysis, check to measure NLS Pharmaceutics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NLS Pharmaceutics is operating at the current time. Most of NLS Pharmaceutics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NLS Pharmaceutics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NLS Pharmaceutics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NLS Pharmaceutics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.