Nederman Holding (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 193.68
| NMAN Stock | SEK 217.00 2.00 0.93% |
Nederman |
Nederman Holding Target Price Odds to finish over 193.68
The tendency of Nederman Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above kr 193.68 in 90 days |
| 217.00 | 90 days | 193.68 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nederman Holding to stay above kr 193.68 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Nederman Holding AB probability density function shows the probability of Nederman Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Nederman Holding price to stay between kr 193.68 and its current price of kr217.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 24.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Nederman Holding AB has a beta of -0.18. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Nederman Holding are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Nederman Holding AB is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Nederman Holding AB has an alpha of 0.0699, implying that it can generate a 0.0699 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Nederman Holding Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Nederman Holding
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nederman Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Nederman Holding Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nederman Holding is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nederman Holding's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nederman Holding AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nederman Holding within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 11.93 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Nederman Holding Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nederman Holding for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nederman Holding can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Nederman Holding has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Over 81.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Nederman Holding Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Nederman Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Nederman Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nederman Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 35.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 541.6 M |
Nederman Holding Technical Analysis
Nederman Holding's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nederman Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nederman Holding AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nederman Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Nederman Holding Predictive Forecast Models
Nederman Holding's time-series forecasting models is one of many Nederman Holding's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Nederman Holding's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Nederman Holding
Checking the ongoing alerts about Nederman Holding for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Nederman Holding help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Nederman Holding has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Over 81.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Additional Tools for Nederman Stock Analysis
When running Nederman Holding's price analysis, check to measure Nederman Holding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nederman Holding is operating at the current time. Most of Nederman Holding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nederman Holding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nederman Holding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nederman Holding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.