Natures Miracle Holding Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.57
| NMHI Stock | 2.46 0.23 8.55% |
Natures |
Natures Miracle Target Price Odds to finish below 2.57
The tendency of Natures Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 2.57 after 90 days |
| 2.46 | 90 days | 2.57 | about 11.65 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Natures Miracle to stay under 2.57 after 90 days from now is about 11.65 (This Natures Miracle Holding probability density function shows the probability of Natures Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Natures Miracle Holding price to stay between its current price of 2.46 and 2.57 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.85 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.33 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Natures Miracle will likely underperform. Additionally Natures Miracle Holding has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Natures Miracle Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Natures Miracle
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Natures Miracle Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Natures Miracle Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Natures Miracle is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Natures Miracle's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Natures Miracle Holding, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Natures Miracle within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.39 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.33 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.10 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Natures Miracle Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Natures Miracle for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Natures Miracle Holding can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Natures Miracle generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Natures Miracle has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Natures Miracle has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 8.93 M. Net Loss for the year was (7.34 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Natures Miracle generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 65.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Natures Miracle Holding Inc. Appoints New Chief Financial Officer and Chief Operating Officer |
Natures Miracle Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Natures Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Natures Miracle's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Natures Miracle's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 22.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 221.8 K |
Natures Miracle Technical Analysis
Natures Miracle's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Natures Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Natures Miracle Holding. In general, you should focus on analyzing Natures Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Natures Miracle Predictive Forecast Models
Natures Miracle's time-series forecasting models is one of many Natures Miracle's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Natures Miracle's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Natures Miracle Holding
Checking the ongoing alerts about Natures Miracle for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Natures Miracle Holding help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Natures Miracle generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Natures Miracle has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Natures Miracle has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 8.93 M. Net Loss for the year was (7.34 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Natures Miracle generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 65.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Natures Miracle Holding Inc. Appoints New Chief Financial Officer and Chief Operating Officer |
Check out Natures Miracle Backtesting, Natures Miracle Valuation, Natures Miracle Correlation, Natures Miracle Hype Analysis, Natures Miracle Volatility, Natures Miracle History as well as Natures Miracle Performance. You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Is Agricultural & Farm Machinery space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Natures Miracle. If investors know Natures will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Natures Miracle listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.39) | Revenue Per Share 0.409 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.752 | Return On Assets (0.25) |
The market value of Natures Miracle Holding is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Natures that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Natures Miracle's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Natures Miracle's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Natures Miracle's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Natures Miracle's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Natures Miracle's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Natures Miracle is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Natures Miracle's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.