Namibia Critical Metals Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.04

NMI Stock  CAD 0.03  0.00  0.00%   
Namibia Critical's future price is the expected price of Namibia Critical instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Namibia Critical Metals performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Namibia Critical Backtesting, Namibia Critical Valuation, Namibia Critical Correlation, Namibia Critical Hype Analysis, Namibia Critical Volatility, Namibia Critical History as well as Namibia Critical Performance.
  
At this time, Namibia Critical's Price Book Value Ratio is fairly stable compared to the past year. Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is likely to climb to 76.95 in 2024, whereas Price Earnings Ratio is likely to drop (5.73) in 2024. Please specify Namibia Critical's target price for which you would like Namibia Critical odds to be computed.

Namibia Critical Target Price Odds to finish over 0.04

The tendency of Namibia Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over C$ 0.04  or more in 90 days
 0.03 90 days 0.04 
about 26.25
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Namibia Critical to move over C$ 0.04  or more in 90 days from now is about 26.25 (This Namibia Critical Metals probability density function shows the probability of Namibia Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Namibia Critical Metals price to stay between its current price of C$ 0.03  and C$ 0.04  at the end of the 90-day period is about 67.76 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Namibia Critical has a beta of 0.51. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Namibia Critical average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Namibia Critical Metals will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Namibia Critical Metals has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Namibia Critical Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Namibia Critical

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Namibia Critical Metals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.039.65
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.039.65
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00060.039.65
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.030.030.03
Details

Namibia Critical Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Namibia Critical is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Namibia Critical's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Namibia Critical Metals, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Namibia Critical within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.51
σ
Overall volatility
0
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

Namibia Critical Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Namibia Critical for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Namibia Critical Metals can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Namibia Critical generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Namibia Critical has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Namibia Critical has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Net Loss for the year was (2.28 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (996).
About 70.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Andrada spent N481m on suppliers - Windhoek Observer

Namibia Critical Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Namibia Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Namibia Critical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Namibia Critical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding196.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.2 M

Namibia Critical Technical Analysis

Namibia Critical's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Namibia Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Namibia Critical Metals. In general, you should focus on analyzing Namibia Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Namibia Critical Predictive Forecast Models

Namibia Critical's time-series forecasting models is one of many Namibia Critical's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Namibia Critical's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Namibia Critical Metals

Checking the ongoing alerts about Namibia Critical for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Namibia Critical Metals help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Namibia Critical generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Namibia Critical has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Namibia Critical has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Net Loss for the year was (2.28 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (996).
About 70.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Andrada spent N481m on suppliers - Windhoek Observer

Additional Tools for Namibia Stock Analysis

When running Namibia Critical's price analysis, check to measure Namibia Critical's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Namibia Critical is operating at the current time. Most of Namibia Critical's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Namibia Critical's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Namibia Critical's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Namibia Critical to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.