Navios Maritime Partners Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 27.48
| NMM Stock | USD 47.91 0.32 0.67% |
Navios |
Navios Maritime Target Price Odds to finish below 27.48
The tendency of Navios Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 27.48 or more in 90 days |
| 47.91 | 90 days | 27.48 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Navios Maritime to drop to $ 27.48 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Navios Maritime Partners probability density function shows the probability of Navios Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Navios Maritime Partners price to stay between $ 27.48 and its current price of $47.91 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.05 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Navios Maritime has a beta of 0.4. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Navios Maritime average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Navios Maritime Partners will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Navios Maritime Partners has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Navios Maritime Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Navios Maritime
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Navios Maritime Partners. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Navios Maritime Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Navios Maritime is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Navios Maritime's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Navios Maritime Partners, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Navios Maritime within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.18 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.40 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.54 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Navios Maritime Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Navios Maritime for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Navios Maritime Partners can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Navios Maritime generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Navios Maritime Partners has 2.13 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.77, which is OK given its current industry classification. Navios Maritime Partners has a current ratio of 0.92, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Navios to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| About 24.0% of Navios Maritime outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| On 15th of November 2024 Navios Maritime paid $ 0.05 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: Navios Maritime Partners LP Is a Trending Stock Facts to Know Before Betting on It |
Navios Maritime Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Navios Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Navios Maritime's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Navios Maritime's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 30.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 287.4 M |
Navios Maritime Technical Analysis
Navios Maritime's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Navios Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Navios Maritime Partners. In general, you should focus on analyzing Navios Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Navios Maritime Predictive Forecast Models
Navios Maritime's time-series forecasting models is one of many Navios Maritime's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Navios Maritime's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Navios Maritime Partners
Checking the ongoing alerts about Navios Maritime for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Navios Maritime Partners help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Navios Maritime generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Navios Maritime Partners has 2.13 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.77, which is OK given its current industry classification. Navios Maritime Partners has a current ratio of 0.92, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Navios to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| About 24.0% of Navios Maritime outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| On 15th of November 2024 Navios Maritime paid $ 0.05 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: Navios Maritime Partners LP Is a Trending Stock Facts to Know Before Betting on It |
Check out Navios Maritime Backtesting, Navios Maritime Valuation, Navios Maritime Correlation, Navios Maritime Hype Analysis, Navios Maritime Volatility, Navios Maritime History as well as Navios Maritime Performance. You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.
Is Cargo Ground Transportation space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Navios Maritime. If investors know Navios will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Navios Maritime listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.092 | Dividend Share 0.2 | Earnings Share 13.17 | Revenue Per Share 43.275 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.055 |
The market value of Navios Maritime Partners is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Navios that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Navios Maritime's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Navios Maritime's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Navios Maritime's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Navios Maritime's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Navios Maritime's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Navios Maritime is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Navios Maritime's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.