Newmark Group Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 14.6
NMRK Stock | USD 14.88 0.32 2.11% |
Newmark |
Newmark Target Price Odds to finish over 14.6
The tendency of Newmark Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 14.60 in 90 days |
14.88 | 90 days | 14.60 | about 88.4 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Newmark to stay above $ 14.60 in 90 days from now is about 88.4 (This Newmark Group probability density function shows the probability of Newmark Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Newmark Group price to stay between $ 14.60 and its current price of $14.88 at the end of the 90-day period is about 18.82 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Newmark has a beta of 0.43. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Newmark average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Newmark Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Newmark Group has an alpha of 0.0252, implying that it can generate a 0.0252 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Newmark Price Density |
Price |
Predictive Modules for Newmark
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Newmark Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Newmark Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Newmark is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Newmark's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Newmark Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Newmark within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.43 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.41 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Newmark Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Newmark for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Newmark Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.Newmark Group currently holds about 280.47 M in cash with (265.96 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.57. | |
Roughly 69.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Newmark Group Inc Honored as Best Real Estate Consultant by Euromoney |
Newmark Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Newmark Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Newmark's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Newmark's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 176.4 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 165 M |
Newmark Technical Analysis
Newmark's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Newmark Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Newmark Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Newmark Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Newmark Predictive Forecast Models
Newmark's time-series forecasting models is one of many Newmark's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Newmark's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Newmark Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about Newmark for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Newmark Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Newmark Group currently holds about 280.47 M in cash with (265.96 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.57. | |
Roughly 69.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Newmark Group Inc Honored as Best Real Estate Consultant by Euromoney |
Check out Newmark Backtesting, Newmark Valuation, Newmark Correlation, Newmark Hype Analysis, Newmark Volatility, Newmark History as well as Newmark Performance. You can also try the Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.
Is Real Estate Management & Development space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Newmark. If investors know Newmark will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Newmark listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.802 | Dividend Share 0.12 | Earnings Share 0.3 | Revenue Per Share 15.115 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.113 |
The market value of Newmark Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Newmark that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Newmark's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Newmark's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Newmark's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Newmark's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Newmark's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Newmark is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Newmark's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.