Nogin Inc Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.38
| NOGNDelisted Stock | USD 0.96 0.13 11.93% |
Nogin |
Nogin Target Price Odds to finish over 0.38
The tendency of Nogin Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 0.38 in 90 days |
| 0.96 | 90 days | 0.38 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nogin to stay above $ 0.38 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Nogin Inc probability density function shows the probability of Nogin Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Nogin Inc price to stay between $ 0.38 and its current price of $0.96 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.03 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Nogin has a beta of 0.86. This indicates Nogin Inc market returns are highly reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Nogin is expected to follow. Additionally Nogin Inc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Nogin Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Nogin
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nogin Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Nogin Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nogin is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nogin's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nogin Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nogin within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -1.49 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.86 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.39 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.29 |
Nogin Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nogin for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nogin Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Nogin Inc is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Nogin Inc has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Nogin Inc has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Nogin Inc currently holds 80.44 M in liabilities. Nogin Inc has a current ratio of 0.73, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Nogin's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 68.27 M. Net Loss for the year was (38.88 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 39.01 M. | |
| Nogin Inc currently holds about 1.21 M in cash with (37.06 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02. | |
| Roughly 32.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Nogin Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Nogin Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Nogin's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nogin's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 15.4 M |
Nogin Technical Analysis
Nogin's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nogin Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nogin Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nogin Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Nogin Predictive Forecast Models
Nogin's time-series forecasting models is one of many Nogin's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Nogin's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Nogin Inc
Checking the ongoing alerts about Nogin for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Nogin Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Nogin Inc is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Nogin Inc has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Nogin Inc has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Nogin Inc currently holds 80.44 M in liabilities. Nogin Inc has a current ratio of 0.73, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Nogin's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 68.27 M. Net Loss for the year was (38.88 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 39.01 M. | |
| Nogin Inc currently holds about 1.21 M in cash with (37.06 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02. | |
| Roughly 32.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price. You can also try the Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Other Consideration for investing in Nogin Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Nogin Inc check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Nogin's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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