Northern Mid Cap Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 23.59

NOMIX Fund  USD 23.88  0.39  1.66%   
Northern Mid's future price is the expected price of Northern Mid instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Northern Mid Cap performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Northern Mid Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Northern Mid Correlation, Northern Mid Hype Analysis, Northern Mid Volatility, Northern Mid History as well as Northern Mid Performance.
  
Please specify Northern Mid's target price for which you would like Northern Mid odds to be computed.

Northern Mid Target Price Odds to finish below 23.59

The tendency of Northern Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 23.59  or more in 90 days
 23.88 90 days 23.59 
about 92.36
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Northern Mid to drop to $ 23.59  or more in 90 days from now is about 92.36 (This Northern Mid Cap probability density function shows the probability of Northern Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Northern Mid Cap price to stay between $ 23.59  and its current price of $23.88 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.49 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Northern Mid has a beta of 0.0812. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Northern Mid average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Northern Mid Cap will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Northern Mid Cap has an alpha of 0.1031, implying that it can generate a 0.1 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Northern Mid Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Northern Mid

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Northern Mid Cap. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22.9123.8824.85
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
22.6223.5924.56
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
22.3823.3424.31
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
23.3823.7524.12
Details

Northern Mid Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Northern Mid is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Northern Mid's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Northern Mid Cap, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Northern Mid within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.10
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.08
σ
Overall volatility
0.66
Ir
Information ratio -0.0079

Northern Mid Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Northern Mid for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Northern Mid Cap can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 99.78% of its assets in stocks

Northern Mid Technical Analysis

Northern Mid's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Northern Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Northern Mid Cap. In general, you should focus on analyzing Northern Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Northern Mid Predictive Forecast Models

Northern Mid's time-series forecasting models is one of many Northern Mid's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Northern Mid's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Northern Mid Cap

Checking the ongoing alerts about Northern Mid for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Northern Mid Cap help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 99.78% of its assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in Northern Mutual Fund

Northern Mid financial ratios help investors to determine whether Northern Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Northern with respect to the benefits of owning Northern Mid security.
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