Norva24 Group (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 24.91
| NORVA Stock | 27.20 0.05 0.18% |
Norva24 |
Norva24 Group Target Price Odds to finish below 24.91
The tendency of Norva24 Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 24.91 or more in 90 days |
| 27.20 | 90 days | 24.91 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Norva24 Group to drop to 24.91 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Norva24 Group AB probability density function shows the probability of Norva24 Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Norva24 Group AB price to stay between 24.91 and its current price of 27.2 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.02 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Norva24 Group has a beta of 0.78. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Norva24 Group average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Norva24 Group AB will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Norva24 Group AB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Norva24 Group Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Norva24 Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Norva24 Group AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Norva24 Group Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Norva24 Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Norva24 Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Norva24 Group AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Norva24 Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.25 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.78 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.55 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
Norva24 Group Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Norva24 Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Norva24 Group AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Norva24 Group AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 64.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Norva24 Group Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Norva24 Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Norva24 Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Norva24 Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 64.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 257 M |
Norva24 Group Technical Analysis
Norva24 Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Norva24 Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Norva24 Group AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Norva24 Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Norva24 Group Predictive Forecast Models
Norva24 Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Norva24 Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Norva24 Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Norva24 Group AB
Checking the ongoing alerts about Norva24 Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Norva24 Group AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Norva24 Group AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 64.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Additional Tools for Norva24 Stock Analysis
When running Norva24 Group's price analysis, check to measure Norva24 Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Norva24 Group is operating at the current time. Most of Norva24 Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Norva24 Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Norva24 Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Norva24 Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.