Northern Stock Index Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 61.38

NOSIX Fund  USD 62.09  0.35  0.57%   
Northern Stock's future price is the expected price of Northern Stock instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Northern Stock Index performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Northern Stock Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Northern Stock Correlation, Northern Stock Hype Analysis, Northern Stock Volatility, Northern Stock History as well as Northern Stock Performance.
  
Please specify Northern Stock's target price for which you would like Northern Stock odds to be computed.

Northern Stock Target Price Odds to finish below 61.38

The tendency of Northern Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 61.38  or more in 90 days
 62.09 90 days 61.38 
about 89.81
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Northern Stock to drop to $ 61.38  or more in 90 days from now is about 89.81 (This Northern Stock Index probability density function shows the probability of Northern Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Northern Stock Index price to stay between $ 61.38  and its current price of $62.09 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.78 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Northern Stock has a beta of 0.83. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Northern Stock average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Northern Stock Index will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Northern Stock Index has an alpha of 0.0066, implying that it can generate a 0.006619 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Northern Stock Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Northern Stock

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Northern Stock Index. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
61.0261.7462.46
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
60.2760.9967.91
Details

Northern Stock Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Northern Stock is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Northern Stock's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Northern Stock Index, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Northern Stock within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.83
σ
Overall volatility
1.60
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Northern Stock Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Northern Stock for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Northern Stock Index can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 99.82% of its assets in stocks

Northern Stock Technical Analysis

Northern Stock's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Northern Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Northern Stock Index. In general, you should focus on analyzing Northern Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Northern Stock Predictive Forecast Models

Northern Stock's time-series forecasting models is one of many Northern Stock's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Northern Stock's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Northern Stock Index

Checking the ongoing alerts about Northern Stock for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Northern Stock Index help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 99.82% of its assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in Northern Mutual Fund

Northern Stock financial ratios help investors to determine whether Northern Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Northern with respect to the benefits of owning Northern Stock security.
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