NOTE AB (Sweden) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 154.40

NOTE Stock  SEK 127.30  1.10  0.87%   
NOTE AB's future price is the expected price of NOTE AB instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of NOTE AB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out NOTE AB Backtesting, NOTE AB Valuation, NOTE AB Correlation, NOTE AB Hype Analysis, NOTE AB Volatility, NOTE AB History as well as NOTE AB Performance.
  
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NOTE AB Target Price Odds to finish over 154.40

The tendency of NOTE Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over kr 154.40  or more in 90 days
 127.30 90 days 154.40 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NOTE AB to move over kr 154.40  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This NOTE AB probability density function shows the probability of NOTE Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of NOTE AB price to stay between its current price of kr 127.30  and kr 154.40  at the end of the 90-day period is about 46.85 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon NOTE AB has a beta of -0.27. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding NOTE AB are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, NOTE AB is likely to outperform the market. Additionally NOTE AB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   NOTE AB Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for NOTE AB

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NOTE AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
124.63127.30129.97
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
103.04105.71140.03
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
125.03127.69130.36
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
125.68126.63127.59
Details

NOTE AB Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. NOTE AB is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the NOTE AB's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NOTE AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of NOTE AB within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.27
σ
Overall volatility
8.03
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

NOTE AB Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of NOTE AB for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for NOTE AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NOTE AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
NOTE AB has accumulated kr158 Million in debt which can lead to volatile earnings
NOTE AB has accumulated about 31 M in cash with (33.12 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.07.
Roughly 46.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

NOTE AB Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of NOTE Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential NOTE AB's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NOTE AB's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding28.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments99.2 M

NOTE AB Technical Analysis

NOTE AB's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. NOTE Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of NOTE AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing NOTE Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

NOTE AB Predictive Forecast Models

NOTE AB's time-series forecasting models is one of many NOTE AB's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary NOTE AB's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about NOTE AB

Checking the ongoing alerts about NOTE AB for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for NOTE AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NOTE AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
NOTE AB has accumulated kr158 Million in debt which can lead to volatile earnings
NOTE AB has accumulated about 31 M in cash with (33.12 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.07.
Roughly 46.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Additional Tools for NOTE Stock Analysis

When running NOTE AB's price analysis, check to measure NOTE AB's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NOTE AB is operating at the current time. Most of NOTE AB's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NOTE AB's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NOTE AB's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NOTE AB to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.