Nov Inc Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 16.77
| NOV Stock | USD 15.38 0.28 1.85% |
Closest to current price NOV long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
NOV |
NOV Target Price Odds to finish below 16.77
The tendency of NOV Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 16.77 after 90 days |
| 15.38 | 90 days | 16.77 | roughly 97.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NOV to stay under $ 16.77 after 90 days from now is roughly 97.0 (This NOV Inc probability density function shows the probability of NOV Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of NOV Inc price to stay between its current price of $ 15.38 and $ 16.77 at the end of the 90-day period is about 84.74 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.06 . This indicates NOV Inc market returns are correlated to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, NOV is expected to follow. Additionally NOV Inc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. NOV Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for NOV
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NOV Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.NOV Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. NOV is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the NOV's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NOV Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of NOV within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.21 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.46 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
NOV Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of NOV for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for NOV Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| NOV Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| NOV Inc has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: NOV Inc Trading 3.58 percent Higher on Dec 9 |
NOV Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of NOV Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential NOV's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NOV's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 397 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 816 M |
NOV Technical Analysis
NOV's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. NOV Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of NOV Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing NOV Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
NOV Predictive Forecast Models
NOV's time-series forecasting models is one of many NOV's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary NOV's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about NOV Inc
Checking the ongoing alerts about NOV for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for NOV Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| NOV Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| NOV Inc has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: NOV Inc Trading 3.58 percent Higher on Dec 9 |
Additional Tools for NOV Stock Analysis
When running NOV's price analysis, check to measure NOV's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NOV is operating at the current time. Most of NOV's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NOV's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NOV's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NOV to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.