NP3 Fastigheter (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 29.06

NP3-PREF  SEK 30.45  0.30  1.00%   
NP3 Fastigheter's future price is the expected price of NP3 Fastigheter instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of NP3 Fastigheter AB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out NP3 Fastigheter Backtesting, NP3 Fastigheter Valuation, NP3 Fastigheter Correlation, NP3 Fastigheter Hype Analysis, NP3 Fastigheter Volatility, NP3 Fastigheter History as well as NP3 Fastigheter Performance.
  
Please specify NP3 Fastigheter's target price for which you would like NP3 Fastigheter odds to be computed.

NP3 Fastigheter Target Price Odds to finish below 29.06

The tendency of NP3 Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to kr 29.06  or more in 90 days
 30.45 90 days 29.06 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NP3 Fastigheter to drop to kr 29.06  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This NP3 Fastigheter AB probability density function shows the probability of NP3 Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of NP3 Fastigheter AB price to stay between kr 29.06  and its current price of kr30.45 at the end of the 90-day period is about 51.37 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon NP3 Fastigheter has a beta of 0.0584. This indicates as returns on the market go up, NP3 Fastigheter average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding NP3 Fastigheter AB will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally NP3 Fastigheter AB has an alpha of 0.0319, implying that it can generate a 0.0319 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   NP3 Fastigheter Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for NP3 Fastigheter

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NP3 Fastigheter AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
29.8630.4531.04
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
29.6730.2630.85
Details

NP3 Fastigheter Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. NP3 Fastigheter is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the NP3 Fastigheter's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NP3 Fastigheter AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of NP3 Fastigheter within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.06
σ
Overall volatility
0.56
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

NP3 Fastigheter Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of NP3 Fastigheter for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for NP3 Fastigheter AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NP3 Fastigheter AB has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
NP3 Fastigheter AB has accumulated 9.39 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 181.7, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. NP3 Fastigheter AB has a current ratio of 0.47, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist NP3 Fastigheter until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, NP3 Fastigheter's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like NP3 Fastigheter AB sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for NP3 to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about NP3 Fastigheter's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 43.0% of NP3 Fastigheter outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

NP3 Fastigheter Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of NP3 Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential NP3 Fastigheter's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NP3 Fastigheter's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding127.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments272 M

NP3 Fastigheter Technical Analysis

NP3 Fastigheter's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. NP3 Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of NP3 Fastigheter AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing NP3 Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

NP3 Fastigheter Predictive Forecast Models

NP3 Fastigheter's time-series forecasting models is one of many NP3 Fastigheter's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary NP3 Fastigheter's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about NP3 Fastigheter AB

Checking the ongoing alerts about NP3 Fastigheter for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for NP3 Fastigheter AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NP3 Fastigheter AB has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
NP3 Fastigheter AB has accumulated 9.39 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 181.7, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. NP3 Fastigheter AB has a current ratio of 0.47, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist NP3 Fastigheter until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, NP3 Fastigheter's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like NP3 Fastigheter AB sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for NP3 to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about NP3 Fastigheter's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 43.0% of NP3 Fastigheter outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in NP3 Stock

NP3 Fastigheter financial ratios help investors to determine whether NP3 Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in NP3 with respect to the benefits of owning NP3 Fastigheter security.