Nippon Steel (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 22.68
| NPS Stock | EUR 19.13 1.06 5.87% |
Nippon |
Nippon Steel Target Price Odds to finish below 22.68
The tendency of Nippon Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under € 22.68 after 90 days |
| 19.13 | 90 days | 22.68 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nippon Steel to stay under € 22.68 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Nippon Steel probability density function shows the probability of Nippon Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Nippon Steel price to stay between its current price of € 19.13 and € 22.68 at the end of the 90-day period is about 40.58 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.85 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Nippon Steel will likely underperform. Additionally Nippon Steel has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Nippon Steel Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Nippon Steel
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nippon Steel. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Nippon Steel Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nippon Steel is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nippon Steel's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nippon Steel, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nippon Steel within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.25 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.85 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.05 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Nippon Steel Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nippon Steel for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nippon Steel can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Nippon Steel had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company has €21.17 Billion in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing |
Nippon Steel Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Nippon Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Nippon Steel's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nippon Steel's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 920.9 M |
Nippon Steel Technical Analysis
Nippon Steel's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nippon Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nippon Steel. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nippon Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Nippon Steel Predictive Forecast Models
Nippon Steel's time-series forecasting models is one of many Nippon Steel's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Nippon Steel's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Nippon Steel
Checking the ongoing alerts about Nippon Steel for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Nippon Steel help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Nippon Steel had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company has €21.17 Billion in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing |
Other Information on Investing in Nippon Stock
Nippon Steel financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nippon Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nippon with respect to the benefits of owning Nippon Steel security.