NOMURA RESEARCH (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 22.65
| NR7 Stock | 28.20 0.20 0.71% |
NOMURA |
NOMURA RESEARCH Target Price Odds to finish below 22.65
The tendency of NOMURA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 22.65 or more in 90 days |
| 28.20 | 90 days | 22.65 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NOMURA RESEARCH to drop to 22.65 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This NOMURA RESEARCH probability density function shows the probability of NOMURA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of NOMURA RESEARCH price to stay between 22.65 and its current price of 28.2 at the end of the 90-day period is about 27.29 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon NOMURA RESEARCH has a beta of 0.39. This indicates as returns on the market go up, NOMURA RESEARCH average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding NOMURA RESEARCH will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally NOMURA RESEARCH has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. NOMURA RESEARCH Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for NOMURA RESEARCH
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NOMURA RESEARCH. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of NOMURA RESEARCH's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
NOMURA RESEARCH Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. NOMURA RESEARCH is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the NOMURA RESEARCH's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NOMURA RESEARCH, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of NOMURA RESEARCH within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.2 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.39 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.89 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
NOMURA RESEARCH Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of NOMURA RESEARCH for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for NOMURA RESEARCH can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| NOMURA RESEARCH generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
NOMURA RESEARCH Technical Analysis
NOMURA RESEARCH's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. NOMURA Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of NOMURA RESEARCH. In general, you should focus on analyzing NOMURA Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
NOMURA RESEARCH Predictive Forecast Models
NOMURA RESEARCH's time-series forecasting models is one of many NOMURA RESEARCH's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary NOMURA RESEARCH's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about NOMURA RESEARCH
Checking the ongoing alerts about NOMURA RESEARCH for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for NOMURA RESEARCH help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| NOMURA RESEARCH generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Additional Tools for NOMURA Stock Analysis
When running NOMURA RESEARCH's price analysis, check to measure NOMURA RESEARCH's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NOMURA RESEARCH is operating at the current time. Most of NOMURA RESEARCH's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NOMURA RESEARCH's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NOMURA RESEARCH's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NOMURA RESEARCH to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.