Aew Real Estate Fund Odds of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 13.16

NRFAX Fund  USD 13.16  0.13  1.00%   
Aew Real's future price is the expected price of Aew Real instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Aew Real Estate performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Aew Real Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Aew Real Correlation, Aew Real Hype Analysis, Aew Real Volatility, Aew Real History as well as Aew Real Performance.
  
Please specify Aew Real's target price for which you would like Aew Real odds to be computed.

Aew Real Target Price Odds to finish below 13.16

The tendency of Aew Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 13.16 90 days 13.16 
about 45.75
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aew Real to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 45.75 (This Aew Real Estate probability density function shows the probability of Aew Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Aew Real has a beta of 0.0533. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Aew Real average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Aew Real Estate will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Aew Real Estate has an alpha of 0.0135, implying that it can generate a 0.0135 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Aew Real Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Aew Real

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aew Real Estate. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.4213.1613.90
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.4313.1713.91
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.5213.2513.99
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.7412.9513.16
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Aew Real. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Aew Real's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Aew Real's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Aew Real Estate.

Aew Real Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aew Real is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aew Real's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aew Real Estate, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aew Real within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.05
σ
Overall volatility
0.22
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Aew Real Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aew Real for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aew Real Estate can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated three year return of -3.0%
Aew Real Estate maintains 96.66% of its assets in stocks

Aew Real Technical Analysis

Aew Real's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Aew Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Aew Real Estate. In general, you should focus on analyzing Aew Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Aew Real Predictive Forecast Models

Aew Real's time-series forecasting models is one of many Aew Real's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Aew Real's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Aew Real Estate

Checking the ongoing alerts about Aew Real for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Aew Real Estate help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated three year return of -3.0%
Aew Real Estate maintains 96.66% of its assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in Aew Mutual Fund

Aew Real financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aew Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aew with respect to the benefits of owning Aew Real security.
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