Amundi SP (France) Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 12.03

NRGW Etf  EUR 12.15  0.05  0.41%   
Amundi SP's future price is the expected price of Amundi SP instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Amundi SP Global performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Amundi SP Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Amundi SP Correlation, Amundi SP Hype Analysis, Amundi SP Volatility, Amundi SP History as well as Amundi SP Performance.
  
Please specify Amundi SP's target price for which you would like Amundi SP odds to be computed.

Amundi SP Target Price Odds to finish over 12.03

The tendency of Amundi Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above € 12.03  in 90 days
 12.15 90 days 12.03 
about 11.9
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Amundi SP to stay above € 12.03  in 90 days from now is about 11.9 (This Amundi SP Global probability density function shows the probability of Amundi Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Amundi SP Global price to stay between € 12.03  and its current price of €12.15 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.12 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Amundi SP has a beta of 0.27. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Amundi SP average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Amundi SP Global will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Amundi SP Global has an alpha of 0.1095, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Amundi SP Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Amundi SP

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amundi SP Global. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.9412.1513.36
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.8112.0213.23
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.4911.7012.92
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.9812.1212.27
Details

Amundi SP Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Amundi SP is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Amundi SP's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Amundi SP Global, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Amundi SP within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.27
σ
Overall volatility
0.50
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Amundi SP Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Amundi SP for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Amundi SP Global can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated five year return of -3.0%
Amundi SP Global maintains all of its assets in stocks

Amundi SP Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Amundi Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Amundi SP's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Amundi SP's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day146
Average Daily Volume In Three Month236

Amundi SP Technical Analysis

Amundi SP's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Amundi Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Amundi SP Global. In general, you should focus on analyzing Amundi Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Amundi SP Predictive Forecast Models

Amundi SP's time-series forecasting models is one of many Amundi SP's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Amundi SP's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Amundi SP Global

Checking the ongoing alerts about Amundi SP for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Amundi SP Global help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated five year return of -3.0%
Amundi SP Global maintains all of its assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in Amundi Etf

Amundi SP financial ratios help investors to determine whether Amundi Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Amundi with respect to the benefits of owning Amundi SP security.