Xcel Energy (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 63.19
| NRN Stock | EUR 68.17 2.26 3.43% |
Xcel |
Xcel Energy Target Price Odds to finish below 63.19
The tendency of Xcel Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 63.19 or more in 90 days |
| 68.17 | 90 days | 63.19 | about 90.18 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Xcel Energy to drop to € 63.19 or more in 90 days from now is about 90.18 (This Xcel Energy probability density function shows the probability of Xcel Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Xcel Energy price to stay between € 63.19 and its current price of €68.17 at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.4 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Xcel Energy has a beta of 0.27. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Xcel Energy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Xcel Energy will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Xcel Energy has an alpha of 0.3504, implying that it can generate a 0.35 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Xcel Energy Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Xcel Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Xcel Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Xcel Energy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Xcel Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Xcel Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Xcel Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Xcel Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.35 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.27 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.50 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.17 |
Xcel Energy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Xcel Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Xcel Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Xcel Energy has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Xcel Energy has accumulated 22.81 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 155.4, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Xcel Energy has a current ratio of 0.65, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Xcel Energy until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Xcel Energy's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Xcel Energy sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Xcel to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Xcel Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Over 81.0% of Xcel Energy shares are owned by institutional investors |
Xcel Energy Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Xcel Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Xcel Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Xcel Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 549.6 M |
Xcel Energy Technical Analysis
Xcel Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Xcel Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Xcel Energy. In general, you should focus on analyzing Xcel Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Xcel Energy Predictive Forecast Models
Xcel Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Xcel Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Xcel Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Xcel Energy
Checking the ongoing alerts about Xcel Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Xcel Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Xcel Energy has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Xcel Energy has accumulated 22.81 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 155.4, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Xcel Energy has a current ratio of 0.65, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Xcel Energy until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Xcel Energy's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Xcel Energy sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Xcel to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Xcel Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Over 81.0% of Xcel Energy shares are owned by institutional investors |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Xcel Stock
When determining whether Xcel Energy is a strong investment it is important to analyze Xcel Energy's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Xcel Energy's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Xcel Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Xcel Energy Backtesting, Xcel Energy Valuation, Xcel Energy Correlation, Xcel Energy Hype Analysis, Xcel Energy Volatility, Xcel Energy History as well as Xcel Energy Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Xcel Stock please use our How to Invest in Xcel Energy guide.You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.