NetSol Technologies (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.45

NS9B Stock  EUR 2.50  0.02  0.81%   
NetSol Technologies' future price is the expected price of NetSol Technologies instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of NetSol Technologies performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out NetSol Technologies Backtesting, NetSol Technologies Valuation, NetSol Technologies Correlation, NetSol Technologies Hype Analysis, NetSol Technologies Volatility, NetSol Technologies History as well as NetSol Technologies Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in NetSol Stock please use our How to Invest in NetSol Technologies guide.
  
Please specify NetSol Technologies' target price for which you would like NetSol Technologies odds to be computed.

NetSol Technologies Target Price Odds to finish over 2.45

The tendency of NetSol Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above € 2.45  in 90 days
 2.50 90 days 2.45 
about 78.17
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NetSol Technologies to stay above € 2.45  in 90 days from now is about 78.17 (This NetSol Technologies probability density function shows the probability of NetSol Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of NetSol Technologies price to stay between € 2.45  and its current price of €2.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.02 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon NetSol Technologies has a beta of 0.4. This indicates as returns on the market go up, NetSol Technologies average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding NetSol Technologies will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally NetSol Technologies has an alpha of 0.0592, implying that it can generate a 0.0592 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   NetSol Technologies Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for NetSol Technologies

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NetSol Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.132.505.08
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.112.154.73
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.052.545.12
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.362.462.56
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as NetSol Technologies. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against NetSol Technologies' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, NetSol Technologies' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in NetSol Technologies.

NetSol Technologies Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. NetSol Technologies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the NetSol Technologies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NetSol Technologies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of NetSol Technologies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.40
σ
Overall volatility
0.18
Ir
Information ratio -0.0067

NetSol Technologies Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of NetSol Technologies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for NetSol Technologies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NetSol Technologies has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 57.25 M. Net Loss for the year was (851.16 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 26.69 M.
About 20.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

NetSol Technologies Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of NetSol Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential NetSol Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NetSol Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding11.3 M

NetSol Technologies Technical Analysis

NetSol Technologies' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. NetSol Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of NetSol Technologies. In general, you should focus on analyzing NetSol Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

NetSol Technologies Predictive Forecast Models

NetSol Technologies' time-series forecasting models is one of many NetSol Technologies' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary NetSol Technologies' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about NetSol Technologies

Checking the ongoing alerts about NetSol Technologies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for NetSol Technologies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NetSol Technologies has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 57.25 M. Net Loss for the year was (851.16 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 26.69 M.
About 20.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in NetSol Stock

When determining whether NetSol Technologies is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if NetSol Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Netsol Technologies Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Netsol Technologies Stock:
Check out NetSol Technologies Backtesting, NetSol Technologies Valuation, NetSol Technologies Correlation, NetSol Technologies Hype Analysis, NetSol Technologies Volatility, NetSol Technologies History as well as NetSol Technologies Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in NetSol Stock please use our How to Invest in NetSol Technologies guide.
You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.
Please note, there is a significant difference between NetSol Technologies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if NetSol Technologies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, NetSol Technologies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.