National Storage Affiliates Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 39.77
| NSA Stock | USD 44.35 0.19 0.43% |
National |
National Storage Target Price Odds to finish below 39.77
The tendency of National Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 39.77 or more in 90 days |
| 44.35 | 90 days | 39.77 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of National Storage to drop to $ 39.77 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This National Storage Affiliates probability density function shows the probability of National Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of National Storage Aff price to stay between $ 39.77 and its current price of $44.35 at the end of the 90-day period is about 36.53 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon National Storage has a beta of 0.0182. This indicates as returns on the market go up, National Storage average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding National Storage Affiliates will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally National Storage Affiliates has an alpha of 0.0195, implying that it can generate a 0.0195 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). National Storage Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for National Storage
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as National Storage Aff. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of National Storage's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
National Storage Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. National Storage is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the National Storage's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold National Storage Affiliates, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of National Storage within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
National Storage Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of National Storage for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for National Storage Aff can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| National Storage Aff generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| National Storage Aff has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 30th of September 2024 National Storage paid $ 0.56 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from kalkinemedia.com: Quest Partners LLC Expands Stake in National Storage Affiliates Trust |
National Storage Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of National Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential National Storage's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. National Storage's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 146 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 94.6 M |
National Storage Technical Analysis
National Storage's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. National Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of National Storage Affiliates. In general, you should focus on analyzing National Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
National Storage Predictive Forecast Models
National Storage's time-series forecasting models is one of many National Storage's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary National Storage's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about National Storage Aff
Checking the ongoing alerts about National Storage for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for National Storage Aff help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| National Storage Aff generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| National Storage Aff has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 30th of September 2024 National Storage paid $ 0.56 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from kalkinemedia.com: Quest Partners LLC Expands Stake in National Storage Affiliates Trust |
Check out National Storage Backtesting, National Storage Valuation, National Storage Correlation, National Storage Hype Analysis, National Storage Volatility, National Storage History as well as National Storage Performance. You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.
Is Self-Storage REITs space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of National Storage. If investors know National will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about National Storage listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.30) | Dividend Share 2.24 | Earnings Share 1.74 | Revenue Per Share 10.033 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.15) |
The market value of National Storage Aff is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of National that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of National Storage's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is National Storage's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because National Storage's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect National Storage's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between National Storage's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if National Storage is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, National Storage's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.