New Stratus Energy Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.6596
| NSE Stock | CAD 0.72 0.02 2.86% |
New |
New Stratus Target Price Odds to finish over 0.6596
The tendency of New Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above C$ 0.66 in 90 days |
| 0.72 | 90 days | 0.66 | about 5.83 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of New Stratus to stay above C$ 0.66 in 90 days from now is about 5.83 (This New Stratus Energy probability density function shows the probability of New Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of New Stratus Energy price to stay between C$ 0.66 and its current price of C$0.72 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.43 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon New Stratus Energy has a beta of -0.16. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding New Stratus are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, New Stratus Energy is likely to outperform the market. Additionally New Stratus Energy has an alpha of 0.7499, implying that it can generate a 0.75 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). New Stratus Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for New Stratus
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as New Stratus Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.New Stratus Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. New Stratus is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the New Stratus' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold New Stratus Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of New Stratus within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.75 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.16 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.1 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.10 |
New Stratus Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of New Stratus for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for New Stratus Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| New Stratus Energy is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| New Stratus Energy has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| New Stratus Energy appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| New Stratus Energy has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| New Stratus Energy has accumulated 26.6 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 593.9, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. New Stratus Energy has a current ratio of 0.32, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist New Stratus until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, New Stratus' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like New Stratus Energy sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for New to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about New Stratus' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Net Loss for the year was (11.35 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 24 M. |
New Stratus Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of New Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential New Stratus' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. New Stratus' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 123 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 33.6 M |
New Stratus Technical Analysis
New Stratus' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. New Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of New Stratus Energy. In general, you should focus on analyzing New Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
New Stratus Predictive Forecast Models
New Stratus' time-series forecasting models is one of many New Stratus' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary New Stratus' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about New Stratus Energy
Checking the ongoing alerts about New Stratus for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for New Stratus Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| New Stratus Energy is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| New Stratus Energy has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| New Stratus Energy appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| New Stratus Energy has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| New Stratus Energy has accumulated 26.6 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 593.9, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. New Stratus Energy has a current ratio of 0.32, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist New Stratus until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, New Stratus' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like New Stratus Energy sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for New to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about New Stratus' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Net Loss for the year was (11.35 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 24 M. |
Additional Tools for New Stock Analysis
When running New Stratus' price analysis, check to measure New Stratus' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy New Stratus is operating at the current time. Most of New Stratus' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of New Stratus' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move New Stratus' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of New Stratus to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.