Song Hong (Vietnam) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4725.0

NSH Stock   4,600  200.00  4.55%   
Song Hong's future price is the expected price of Song Hong instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Song Hong Aluminum performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Song Hong Backtesting, Song Hong Valuation, Song Hong Correlation, Song Hong Hype Analysis, Song Hong Volatility, Song Hong History as well as Song Hong Performance.
  
Please specify Song Hong's target price for which you would like Song Hong odds to be computed.

Song Hong Target Price Odds to finish below 4725.0

The tendency of Song Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  4,725  after 90 days
 4,600 90 days 4,725 
about 11.15
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Song Hong to stay under  4,725  after 90 days from now is about 11.15 (This Song Hong Aluminum probability density function shows the probability of Song Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Song Hong Aluminum price to stay between its current price of  4,600  and  4,725  at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.89 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Song Hong Aluminum has a beta of -0.0389. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Song Hong are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Song Hong Aluminum is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Song Hong Aluminum has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Song Hong Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Song Hong

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Song Hong Aluminum. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4,5974,6004,603
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4,0294,0325,060
Details

Song Hong Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Song Hong is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Song Hong's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Song Hong Aluminum, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Song Hong within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.04
σ
Overall volatility
251.74
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Song Hong Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Song Hong for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Song Hong Aluminum can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Song Hong Aluminum generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Song Hong Technical Analysis

Song Hong's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Song Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Song Hong Aluminum. In general, you should focus on analyzing Song Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Song Hong Predictive Forecast Models

Song Hong's time-series forecasting models is one of many Song Hong's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Song Hong's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Song Hong Aluminum

Checking the ongoing alerts about Song Hong for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Song Hong Aluminum help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Song Hong Aluminum generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Song Stock

Song Hong financial ratios help investors to determine whether Song Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Song with respect to the benefits of owning Song Hong security.