Northern Shield Resources Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 0.0331

NSHRF Stock  USD 0.25  0.00  0.00%   
Northern Shield's future price is the expected price of Northern Shield instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Northern Shield Resources performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Northern Shield Backtesting, Northern Shield Valuation, Northern Shield Correlation, Northern Shield Hype Analysis, Northern Shield Volatility, Northern Shield History as well as Northern Shield Performance.
  
Please specify Northern Shield's target price for which you would like Northern Shield odds to be computed.

Northern Shield Target Price Odds to finish over 0.0331

The tendency of Northern Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 0.03  in 90 days
 0.25 90 days 0.03 
about 65.45
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Northern Shield to stay above $ 0.03  in 90 days from now is about 65.45 (This Northern Shield Resources probability density function shows the probability of Northern Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Northern Shield Resources price to stay between $ 0.03  and its current price of $0.25 at the end of the 90-day period is about 64.12 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Northern Shield Resources has a beta of -4.24. This indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Northern Shield Resources are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Northern Shield is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that Northern Shield Resources has an alpha of 11.9633, implying that it can generate a 11.96 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Northern Shield Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Northern Shield

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Northern Shield Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.2562.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.1662.66
Details

Northern Shield Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Northern Shield is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Northern Shield's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Northern Shield Resources, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Northern Shield within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
11.96
β
Beta against Dow Jones-4.24
σ
Overall volatility
0.08
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

Northern Shield Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Northern Shield for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Northern Shield Resources can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Northern Shield is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Northern Shield has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Northern Shield appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Northern Shield has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Northern Shield Resources has accumulated 8.36 K in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.0, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Northern Shield Resources has a current ratio of 0.54, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Northern Shield until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Northern Shield's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Northern Shield Resources sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Northern to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Northern Shield's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Net Loss for the year was (233.04 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Northern Shield Resources has accumulated about 88.9 K in cash with (556.8 K) of positive cash flow from operations.
Latest headline from fool.com.au: Why are ASX 200 bank shares being trashed on Tuesday

Northern Shield Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Northern Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Northern Shield's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Northern Shield's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding291.7 M

Northern Shield Technical Analysis

Northern Shield's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Northern Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Northern Shield Resources. In general, you should focus on analyzing Northern Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Northern Shield Predictive Forecast Models

Northern Shield's time-series forecasting models is one of many Northern Shield's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Northern Shield's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Northern Shield Resources

Checking the ongoing alerts about Northern Shield for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Northern Shield Resources help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Northern Shield is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Northern Shield has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Northern Shield appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Northern Shield has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Northern Shield Resources has accumulated 8.36 K in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.0, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Northern Shield Resources has a current ratio of 0.54, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Northern Shield until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Northern Shield's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Northern Shield Resources sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Northern to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Northern Shield's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Net Loss for the year was (233.04 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Northern Shield Resources has accumulated about 88.9 K in cash with (556.8 K) of positive cash flow from operations.
Latest headline from fool.com.au: Why are ASX 200 bank shares being trashed on Tuesday

Other Information on Investing in Northern Pink Sheet

Northern Shield financial ratios help investors to determine whether Northern Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Northern with respect to the benefits of owning Northern Shield security.