National Storage (Australia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.48

NSR Stock   2.48  0.02  0.81%   
National Storage's future price is the expected price of National Storage instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of National Storage REIT performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out National Storage Backtesting, National Storage Valuation, National Storage Correlation, National Storage Hype Analysis, National Storage Volatility, National Storage History as well as National Storage Performance.
  
Please specify National Storage's target price for which you would like National Storage odds to be computed.

National Storage Target Price Odds to finish over 2.48

The tendency of National Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 2.48 90 days 2.48 
about 50.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of National Storage to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 50.0 (This National Storage REIT probability density function shows the probability of National Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon National Storage has a beta of 0.24. This indicates as returns on the market go up, National Storage average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding National Storage REIT will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally National Storage REIT has an alpha of 0.0205, implying that it can generate a 0.0205 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   National Storage Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for National Storage

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as National Storage REIT. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.522.483.44
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.532.493.45
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.492.453.42
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.030.030.03
Details

National Storage Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. National Storage is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the National Storage's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold National Storage REIT, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of National Storage within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.24
σ
Overall volatility
0.05
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

National Storage Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of National Storage for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for National Storage REIT can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
National Storage is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Latest headline from news.google.com: Principal Financial Group Inc. Cuts Stock Position in National Storage Affiliates Trust - MarketBeat

National Storage Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of National Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential National Storage's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. National Storage's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.4 B
Cash And Short Term Investments55.2 M

National Storage Technical Analysis

National Storage's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. National Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of National Storage REIT. In general, you should focus on analyzing National Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

National Storage Predictive Forecast Models

National Storage's time-series forecasting models is one of many National Storage's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary National Storage's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about National Storage REIT

Checking the ongoing alerts about National Storage for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for National Storage REIT help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
National Storage is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Latest headline from news.google.com: Principal Financial Group Inc. Cuts Stock Position in National Storage Affiliates Trust - MarketBeat

Additional Tools for National Stock Analysis

When running National Storage's price analysis, check to measure National Storage's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy National Storage is operating at the current time. Most of National Storage's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of National Storage's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move National Storage's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of National Storage to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.